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Photo: Barry Dogger
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Australia tour of England · 2024 · Men
29 Sept 2024 · ODI
County Ground, Bristol · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Shortcaught · Jamie Smith · Matthew Potts 7 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Matthew Potts | 58 | 30 | 7 | 4 | 193.33 |
 Travis Headcaught · Philip Salt · Brydon Carse4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Philip Salt · b Brydon Carse | 31 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 119.23 |
 Steve Smithnot out4 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 36* | 48 | 4 | 1 | 75.00 |
 Josh Inglisnot out2 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 28* | 20 | 2 | 2 | 140.00 |
| Extras |
| byes: 0 · legbyes: 9 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 |
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matthew Potts0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 49 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Oli Stone0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Will Jacks0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 20.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Brydon Carse0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 7.20 | 1 | 0 |
 Adil Rashid0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 4.09 | 1 | 0 |
1-78 (Travis Head, 7.1) · 2-118 (Matthew Short, 12.4)
Recorded target: 117 runs in 20.4 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 16/0 |
| 4 | 16 | 32/0 |
| 5 | 14 | 46/0 |
| 6 | 20 | 66/0 |
| 7 | 12 | 78/0 |
| 8 | 6 | 84/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 93/1 |
| 10 | 10 | 103/1 |
| 11 | 8 | 111/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 113/1 |
| 13 | 5 | 118/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 122/2 |
| 15 | 1 | 123/2 |
| 16 | 2 | 125/2 |
| 17 | 7 | 132/2 |
| 18 | 1 | 133/2 |
| 19 | 11 | 144/2 |
| 20 | 14 | 158/2 |
| 21 | 7 | 165/2 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adil Rashid: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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