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Photo: HLloyd8
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
29 May 2026 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
Somerset started on 63%; Somerset batted first.
Somerset's chances ranged from 0% to 84% during the match (Glamorgan: 16% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kiran Carlsoncaught · Josh Shaw · Josh Thomas13 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Josh Shaw · b Josh Thomas | 109 | 45 | 13 | 6 | 242.22 |
| William Smalerun out · Tom Abell, Thomas Rew, Tom Banton · Lewis Gregory 6 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Tom Abell, Thomas Rew, Tom Banton | 40 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 148.15 |
| BI Kellawaycaught · James Rew · Lewis Gregory 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Rew · b Lewis Gregory | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| HE Hurlenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
 Sean Dickson |
| not out |
| 16* |
| 5 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 320.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Josh Shaw0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.65 | 1 | 0 |
 Craig Overton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 11.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Jake Ball0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Daniel Sams0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 15.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Lewis Goldsworthy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Lewis Gregory0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 10.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Josh Thomas0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-146 (Kiran Carlson, 11.2) · 2-155 (BI Kellaway, 12.2) · 3-158 (William Smale, 12.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 22/0 |
| 3 | 14 | 36/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 47/0 |
| 5 | 14 | 61/0 |
| 6 | 13 | 74/0 |
| 7 | 12 | 86/0 |
| 8 | 13 | 99/0 |
| 9 | 18 | 117/0 |
| 10 | 14 | 131/0 |
| 11 | 9 | 140/0 |
| 12 | 14 | 154/1 |
| 13 | 8 | 162/3 |
| 14 | 13 | 175/3 |
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ned Leonard: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Josh Shaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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