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Photo: HLloyd8
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
29 May 2026 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
Somerset started on 63%; Somerset batted first.
Somerset's chances ranged from 0% to 84% during the match (Glamorgan: 16% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Bantoncaught · Chris Cooke · Mason Crane 7 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Chris Cooke · b Mason Crane | 59 | 25 | 7 | 4 | 236.00 |
| Josh Thomaslbw · Nathan McAndrew 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nathan McAndrew | 10 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
| James Rewcaught · William Smale · Mason Crane 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · William Smale · b Mason Crane | 22 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 110.00 |
 Tom Abellcaught · William Smale · Ned Leonard1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · William Smale · b Ned Leonard | 13 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Thomas Rewcaught and bowled · Nathan McAndrew 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Nathan McAndrew |
| 15 |
| 13 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 115.38 |
 Lewis Gregorybowled · Mason Crane0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Mason Crane | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 142.86 |
|---|
 Daniel Samscaught · Chris Cooke · Nathan McAndrew1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Chris Cooke · b Nathan McAndrew | 22 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 122.22 |
|---|
 Craig Overtoncaught · Sean Dickson · Daniel Douthwaite0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sean Dickson · b Daniel Douthwaite | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Lewis Goldsworthycaught · HE Hurle · Nathan McAndrew 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · HE Hurle · b Nathan McAndrew | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
 Josh Shawnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 3 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BI Kellaway0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Nathan McAndrew0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 3.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Ned Leonard0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 1 |
| Daniel Douthwaite0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 9.25 | 1 | 2 |
 Mason Crane0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 3 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| James Neesham0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-51 (Josh Thomas, 4.4) · 2-74 (Tom Banton, 7.0) · 3-106 (Tom Abell, 11.1) · 4-115 (James Rew, 12.1) · 5-133 (Lewis Gregory, 14.2) · 6-141 (Thomas Rew, 15.2) · 7-168 (Craig Overton, 18.4) · 8-170 (Daniel Sams, 19.3) · 9-171 (Lewis Goldsworthy, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 15 | 32/0 |
| 4 | 19 | 51/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 52/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 58/1 |
| 7 | 16 | 74/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 83/2 |
| 9 | 9 | 92/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 100/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 106/2 |
| 12 | 9 | 115/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 119/4 |
| 14 | 8 | 127/4 |
| 15 | 13 | 140/5 |
| 16 | 6 | 146/6 |
| 17 | 5 | 151/6 |
| 18 | 14 | 165/6 |
| 19 | 4 | 169/7 |
| 20 | 2 | 171/9 |
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ned Leonard: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Josh Shaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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