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Namibia T20I Tri-Series · 2026 · Men
3 Sept 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Namibia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 60%; Namibia batted first.
Namibia's chances ranged from 0% to 66% during the match (Zimbabwe: 34% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Bennettcaught · JC Balt · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · JC Balt · b Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton | 22 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 129.41 |
| Ben Currancaught · Ruben Trumpelmann · JJ Smit 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ruben Trumpelmann · b JJ Smit | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
| Innocent Kaiacaught · Gerhard Erasmus · Jack Brassell 8 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Gerhard Erasmus · b Jack Brassell | 72 | 42 | 8 | 3 | 171.43 |
 Sikandar Razacaught · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton · Ruben Trumpelmann2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton · b Ruben Trumpelmann | 29 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 120.83 |
| Ryan Burlnot out0 fours · 1 sixes |
| not out |
| 12* |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 120.00 |
| Wesley Madheverecaught · A Busing-Volschenk · Ruben Trumpelmann 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Busing-Volschenk · b Ruben Trumpelmann | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Tadiwanashe Marumaninot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 13* | 12 | 0 | 1 | 108.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruben Trumpelmann0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 10.25 | 2 | 0 |
| JJ Smit0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 10.74 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Brassell0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
| M Heingo0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| JC Balt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Ben Curran, 1.2) · 2-70 (Brian Bennett, 7.0) · 3-124 (Innocent Kaia, 13.2) · 4-132 (Sikandar Raza, 14.5) · 5-132 (Wesley Madhevere, 15.0)
Recorded target: 157 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 15 | 27/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 39/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 49/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 59/1 |
| 7 | 11 | 70/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 73/2 |
| 9 | 10 | 83/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 91/2 |
| 11 | 12 | 103/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 111/2 |
| 13 | 12 | 123/2 |
| 14 | 3 | 126/3 |
| 15 | 6 | 132/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 136/5 |
| 17 | 11 | 147/5 |
| 18 | 6 | 153/5 |
| 19 | 6 | 159/5 |
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
