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Photo: Gnan garra
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.5 au
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
17 Jan 2026 · T20
Perth Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Stars started on 40%; Melbourne Stars batted first.
Melbourne Stars's chances ranged from 0% to 48% during the match (Perth Scorchers: 52% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Glenn Maxwell · b Haris Rauf | 12 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 150.00 |
| Finn Allencaught · Glenn Maxwell · Peter Siddle 2 fours · 7 sixes | caught · Glenn Maxwell · b Peter Siddle | 69 | 39 | 2 | 7 | 176.92 |
| Cooper Connollycaught · Hilton Cartwright · Haris Rauf 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hilton Cartwright · b Haris Rauf | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Harper · b Haris Rauf | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11.11 |
| not out |
| 41* |
| 37 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 110.81 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 | |
| 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mitchell Swepson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.59 | 1 | 0 |
1-22 (Mitchell Marsh, 2.1) · 2-24 (Cooper Connolly, 2.3) · 3-26 (Josh Inglis, 4.1) · 4-120 (Finn Allen, 15.1)
Recorded target: 131 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 22/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 24/2 |
| 4 | 2 | 26/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 33/3 |
| 6 | 8 | 41/3 |
| 7 | 10 | 51/3 |
| 8 | 2 | 53/3 |
| 9 | 10 | 63/3 |
| 10 | 13 | 76/3 |
| 11 | 7 | 83/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 87/3 |
| 13 | 13 | 100/3 |
| 14 | 12 | 112/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 120/3 |
| 16 | 7 | 127/4 |
| 17 | 7 | 134/4 |
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Haris Rauf: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Peter Siddle: PrivateMusings · CC BY-SA 2.5
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.