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Photo: Jshecket
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2025/26 · Men
27 Dec 2025 · T20
Boland Park, Paarl · Venue photographRecorded result
Sunrisers Eastern Cape started on 48%; Sunrisers Eastern Cape batted first.
Sunrisers Eastern Cape's chances ranged from 45% to 100% during the match (Paarl Royals: 0% to 55%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LG Pretoriuscaught · Quinton de Kock · Marco Jansen 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Quinton de Kock · b Marco Jansen | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Vishen Halambagecaught · Tristan Stubbs · Adam Milne 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tristan Stubbs · b Adam Milne | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 62.50 |
| Rubin Hermanncaught · Quinton de Kock · Adam Milne 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Quinton de Kock · b Adam Milne | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Kyle Verreynnecaught · Tristan Stubbs · Senuran Muthusamy 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tristan Stubbs · b Senuran Muthusamy | 11 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 64.71 |
| Asa Tribecaught · Senuran Muthusamy · Anrich Nortje 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Senuran Muthusamy · b Anrich Nortje | 14 |
| 10 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 140.00 |
 David Millercaught · Jordan Hermann · Tharindu Ratnayake0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jordan Hermann · b Tharindu Ratnayake | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 70.00 |
|---|
| Delano Potgieterbowled · Anrich Nortje 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Anrich Nortje | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 30.77 |
|---|
| Bjorn Fortuincaught · Quinton de Kock · Anrich Nortje 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Quinton de Kock · b Anrich Nortje | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Mujeeb Ur Rahmancaught · Quinton de Kock · Anrich Nortje0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Quinton de Kock · b Anrich Nortje | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| N Mokoenabowled · Tharindu Ratnayake 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tharindu Ratnayake | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ottniel Baartmannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marco Jansen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Adam Milne0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Anrich Nortje0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 4.33 | 1 | 1 |
| Tharindu Ratnayake0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 3.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Senuran Muthusamy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (LG Pretorius, 0.3) · 2-7 (Rubin Hermann, 2.0) · 3-10 (Vishen Halambage, 3.3) · 4-30 (Asa Tribe, 6.0) · 5-37 (Kyle Verreynne, 7.4) · 6-46 (Delano Potgieter, 10.1) · 7-48 (Bjorn Fortuin, 10.5) · 8-48 (Mujeeb Ur Rahman, 11.0) · 9-48 (David Miller, 11.2) · 10-49 (N Mokoena, 11.5)
Recorded target: 187 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 7/2 |
| 3 | 2 | 9/2 |
| 4 | 2 | 11/3 |
| 5 | 12 | 23/3 |
| 6 | 7 | 30/4 |
| 7 | 4 | 34/4 |
| 8 | 3 | 37/5 |
| 9 | 5 | 42/5 |
| 10 | 4 | 46/5 |
| 11 | 2 | 48/8 |
| 12 | 1 | 49/10 |
Mujeeb Ur Rahman: Afghanistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
David Miller: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Quinton de Kock: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jonny Bairstow: Mcadge · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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