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Major League Cricket · 2026 · Men
5 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Seattle Orcas started on 42%; Seattle Orcas batted first.
Seattle Orcas's chances ranged from 5% to 97% during the match (Texas Super Kings: 3% to 95%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 5 Jul 2026, Seattle Orcas played Texas Super Kings at Knight Riders Cricket Ground, Pomona. Recorded result: Seattle Orcas won by 9 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.