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Photo: Mat Fascione
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
4 Jul 2025 · T20
Grace Road, Leicester · Venue photographRecorded result
Leicestershire started on 45%; Leicestershire batted first.
Leicestershire's chances ranged from 0% to 72% during the match (Birmingham Bears: 28% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Daviescaught · Ben Cox · Logan van Beek 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ben Cox · b Logan van Beek | 24 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 171.43 |
 Tom Lathamcaught · Tom Scriven · Sam Wood0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Scriven · b Sam Wood | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Dan Mousleynot out 8 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 64* | 48 | 8 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Sam Haincaught · Liam Trevaskis · Louis Kimber 6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Liam Trevaskis · b Louis Kimber | 55 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 144.74 |
 Moeen Ali |
| caught and bowled · b Louis Kimber |
| 1 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 25.00 |
| Ed Barnardnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan van Beek0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Hull0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 9.60 | 3 | 0 |
| Sam Wood0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Tom Scriven0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Trevaskis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Louis Kimber0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 9.00 | 0 | 2 |
1-23 (Tom Latham, 2.1) · 2-48 (Alex Davies, 4.4) · 3-141 (Sam Hain, 16.0) · 4-148 (Moeen Ali, 17.1)
Recorded target: 155 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 18/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 23/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 31/1 |
| 4 | 15 | 46/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 49/2 |
| 6 | 10 | 59/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 66/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 74/2 |
| 9 | 14 | 88/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 95/2 |
| 11 | 9 | 104/2 |
| 12 | 9 | 113/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 119/2 |
| 14 | 7 | 126/2 |
| 15 | 8 | 134/2 |
| 16 | 7 | 141/3 |
| 17 | 7 | 148/3 |
| 18 | 6 | 154/4 |
| 19 | 4 | 158/4 |
Richard Gleeson: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Cox: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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