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New Zealand tour of Zimbabwe · 2025 · Men
7 Aug 2025 · Test
Recorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Conwaybowled · Blessing Muzarabani 18 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Blessing Muzarabani | 153 | 245 | 18 | 0 | 62.45 |
 Will Youngbowled · Trevor Gwandu11 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Trevor Gwandu | 74 | 101 | 11 | 0 | 73.27 |
 Jacob Duffycaught · Brian Bennett · Vincent Masekesa6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brian Bennett · b Vincent Masekesa | 36 | 55 | 6 | 0 | 65.45 |
| Henry Nichollsnot out 15 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 150* | 245 | 15 | 0 | 61.22 |
| not out |
| 165* |
| 139 |
| 21 |
| 2 |
| 118.71 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 18 · wides: 0 · noballs: 5 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blessing Muzarabani5 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 24.0 | 5 | 101 | 1 | 4.21 | 0 | 1 |
| Tanaka Chivanga3 maidens · 0 wides · 4 no-balls | 17.0 | 3 | 94 | 0 | 5.53 | 0 | 4 |
| Trevor Gwandu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 19.0 | 0 | 131 | 1 | 6.89 | 0 | 0 |
 Sean Williams1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 1 | 37 | 0 | 2.64 | 0 | 0 |
| Vincent Masekesa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 19.0 | 0 | 104 | 1 | 5.47 | 0 | 0 |
 Sikandar Raza3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 26.0 | 3 | 73 | 0 | 2.81 | 0 | 0 |
| Brian Bennett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 3.91 | 0 | 0 |
1-162 (Will Young, 35.0) · 2-235 (Jacob Duffy, 52.2) · 3-345 (Devon Conway, 82.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 23/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 23/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 27/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 27/0 |
| 7 | 9 | 36/0 |
| 8 | 14 | 50/0 |
| 9 | 3 | 53/0 |
| 10 | 4 | 57/0 |
| 11 | 6 | 63/0 |
| 12 | 13 | 76/0 |
| 13 | 1 | 77/0 |
| 14 | 5 | 82/0 |
| 15 | 0 | 82/0 |
| 16 | 2 | 84/0 |
| 17 | 4 | 88/0 |
| 18 | 4 | 92/0 |
| 19 | 14 | 106/0 |
| 20 | 4 | 110/0 |
| 21 | 0 | 110/0 |
| 22 | 2 | 112/0 |
| 23 | 0 | 112/0 |
| 24 | 3 | 115/0 |
| 25 | 5 | 120/0 |
| 26 | 4 | 124/0 |
| 27 | 4 | 128/0 |
| 28 | 5 | 133/0 |
| 29 | 5 | 138/0 |
| 30 | 1 | 139/0 |
| 31 | 4 | 143/0 |
| 32 | 7 | 150/0 |
| 33 | 7 | 157/0 |
| 34 | 2 | 159/0 |
| 35 | 3 | 162/1 |
| 36 | 1 | 163/1 |
| 37 | 1 | 164/1 |
| 38 | 5 | 169/1 |
| 39 | 5 | 174/1 |
| 40 | 4 | 178/1 |
| 41 | 4 | 182/1 |
| 42 | 3 | 185/1 |
| 43 | 11 | 196/1 |
| 44 | 10 | 206/1 |
| 45 | 6 | 212/1 |
| 46 | 5 | 217/1 |
| 47 | 2 | 219/1 |
| 48 | 1 | 220/1 |
| 49 | 5 | 225/1 |
| 50 | 4 | 229/1 |
| 51 | 4 | 233/1 |
| 52 | 2 | 235/1 |
| 53 | 2 | 237/2 |
| 54 | 2 | 239/2 |
| 55 | 7 | 246/2 |
| 56 | 0 | 246/2 |
| 57 | 1 | 247/2 |
| 58 | 2 | 249/2 |
| 59 | 10 | 259/2 |
| 60 | 6 | 265/2 |
| 61 | 7 | 272/2 |
| 62 | 7 | 279/2 |
| 63 | 4 | 283/2 |
| 64 | 1 | 284/2 |
| 65 | 2 | 286/2 |
| 66 | 5 | 291/2 |
| 67 | 6 | 297/2 |
| 68 | 4 | 301/2 |
| 69 | 3 | 304/2 |
| 70 | 2 | 306/2 |
| 71 | 0 | 306/2 |
| 72 | 3 | 309/2 |
| 73 | 1 | 310/2 |
| 74 | 5 | 315/2 |
| 75 | 1 | 316/2 |
| 76 | 6 | 322/2 |
| 77 | 2 | 324/2 |
| 78 | 7 | 331/2 |
| 79 | 1 | 332/2 |
| 80 | 7 | 339/2 |
| 81 | 0 | 339/2 |
| 82 | 5 | 344/2 |
| 83 | 1 | 345/3 |
| 84 | 6 | 351/3 |
| 85 | 4 | 355/3 |
| 86 | 7 | 362/3 |
| 87 | 3 | 365/3 |
| 88 | 1 | 366/3 |
| 89 | 0 | 366/3 |
| 90 | 7 | 373/3 |
| 91 | 12 | 385/3 |
| 92 | 6 | 391/3 |
| 93 | 9 | 400/3 |
| 94 | 4 | 404/3 |
| 95 | 9 | 413/3 |
| 96 | 1 | 414/3 |
| 97 | 4 | 418/3 |
| 98 | 4 | 422/3 |
| 99 | 5 | 427/3 |
| 100 | 0 | 427/3 |
| 101 | 9 | 436/3 |
| 102 | 1 | 437/3 |
| 103 | 4 | 441/3 |
| 104 | 4 | 445/3 |
| 105 | 18 | 463/3 |
| 106 | 2 | 465/3 |
| 107 | 0 | 465/3 |
| 108 | 2 | 467/3 |
| 109 | 5 | 472/3 |
| 110 | 5 | 477/3 |
| 111 | 2 | 479/3 |
| 112 | 3 | 482/3 |
| 113 | 4 | 486/3 |
| 114 | 8 | 494/3 |
| 115 | 1 | 495/3 |
| 116 | 4 | 499/3 |
| 117 | 5 | 504/3 |
| 118 | 1 | 505/3 |
| 119 | 8 | 513/3 |
| 120 | 3 | 516/3 |
| 121 | 10 | 526/3 |
| 122 | 2 | 528/3 |
| 123 | 9 | 537/3 |
| 124 | 2 | 539/3 |
| 125 | 12 | 551/3 |
| 126 | 11 | 562/3 |
| 127 | 12 | 574/3 |
| 128 | 20 | 594/3 |
| 129 | 6 | 600/3 |
| 130 | 1 | 601/3 |
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Craig Ervine: TheCricketer · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brendan Taylor: The Madras · CC BY-SA 3.0
Matthew Fisher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Williams: Larry D. Moore · CC BY 4.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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