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New Zealand tour of Zimbabwe · 2025 · Men
7 Aug 2025 · Test
Recorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Bennettbowled · Matt Henry 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Matt Henry | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Brendan Taylorcaught · Will Young · Matt Henry1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Will Young · b Matt Henry | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 58.33 |
| Nick Welchnot out 7 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 47* | 71 | 7 | 0 | 66.20 |
 Sean Williamscaught and bowled · Jacob Duffy2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jacob Duffy | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 150.00 |
| caught · Zakary Foulkes · b Matthew Fisher |
| 17 |
| 31 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 54.84 |
 Sikandar Razacaught · Devon Conway · Zakary Foulkes1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Devon Conway · b Zakary Foulkes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Tafadzwa Tsigacaught · Tom Blundell · Zakary Foulkes 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Blundell · b Zakary Foulkes | 5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 41.67 |
|---|
| Vincent Masekesabowled · Zakary Foulkes 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zakary Foulkes | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 28.57 |
|---|
| Trevor Gwandubowled · Zakary Foulkes 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zakary Foulkes | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Blessing Muzarabanicaught · Mitchell Santner · Zakary Foulkes 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mitchell Santner · b Zakary Foulkes | 8 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 72.73 |
|---|
| Tanaka Chivangacaught · Devon Conway · Jacob Duffy 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Devon Conway · b Jacob Duffy | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 10 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Henry3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 2.29 | 0 | 0 |
 Jacob Duffy2 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 7.1 | 2 | 28 | 2 | 3.91 | 1 | 1 |
| Zakary Foulkes2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 2 | 37 | 5 | 4.11 | 0 | 0 |
 Matthew Fisher0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 4.40 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Brian Bennett, 0.3) · 2-11 (Brendan Taylor, 4.1) · 3-24 (Sean Williams, 5.5) · 4-49 (Craig Ervine, 14.5) · 5-54 (Sikandar Raza, 15.2) · 6-64 (Tafadzwa Tsiga, 17.5) · 7-78 (Vincent Masekesa, 21.5) · 8-86 (Trevor Gwandu, 23.3) · 9-98 (Blessing Muzarabani, 26.0) · 10-117 (Tanaka Chivanga, 28.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 4/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 11/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 16/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 25/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 29/3 |
| 8 | 0 | 29/3 |
| 9 | 0 | 29/3 |
| 10 | 0 | 29/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 34/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 40/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 42/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 46/3 |
| 15 | 7 | 53/4 |
| 16 | 1 | 54/5 |
| 17 | 6 | 60/5 |
| 18 | 4 | 64/6 |
| 19 | 3 | 67/6 |
| 20 | 5 | 72/6 |
| 21 | 5 | 77/6 |
| 22 | 1 | 78/7 |
| 23 | 8 | 86/7 |
| 24 | 0 | 86/8 |
| 25 | 3 | 89/8 |
| 26 | 9 | 98/9 |
| 27 | 7 | 105/9 |
| 28 | 12 | 117/9 |
| 29 | 0 | 117/10 |
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Craig Ervine: TheCricketer · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brendan Taylor: The Madras · CC BY-SA 3.0
Matthew Fisher: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Williams: Larry D. Moore · CC BY 4.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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