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Photo: Michal Klajban
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2024/25 · Men
24 Jan 2025 · T20
Hagley Oval, Christchurch · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 38%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 24% to 100% during the match (Canterbury: 0% to 76%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Bowescaught · Nathan Smith · Ben Sears 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan Smith · b Ben Sears | 14 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 82.35 |
 Tom Lathamstumped · Tom Blundell · Michael Bracewell6 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Tom Blundell · b Michael Bracewell | 26 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 113.04 |
| Matt Boylerun out · Peter Younghusband, Ben Sears · Peter Younghusband 0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Peter Younghusband, Ben Sears | 12 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 171.43 |
| Daryl Mitchellcaught · Michael Bracewell · Ben Sears 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michael Bracewell · b Ben Sears | 22 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 110.00 |
| Cole McConchiecaught · Tom Blundell · Michael Bracewell2 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Tom Blundell · b Michael Bracewell |
| 10 |
| 10 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Mitchell Haycaught · Gareth Severin · Michael Bracewell 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Gareth Severin · b Michael Bracewell | 21 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Zakary Foulkescaught · Michael Bracewell · Peter Younghusband 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Michael Bracewell · b Peter Younghusband | 13 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 216.67 |
|---|
 Kyle Jamiesonbowled · Peter Younghusband0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Peter Younghusband | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Ish Sodhicaught · Nathan Smith · Michael Bracewell0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan Smith · b Michael Bracewell | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Matt Henrybowled · Nathan Smith0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Nathan Smith | 10 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
 William O’Rourkenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Snedden0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Smith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.74 | 0 | 0 |
 Muhammad Abbas0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Bracewell0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 4 | 7.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Peter Younghusband0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Sears0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 7.67 | 1 | 0 |
1-36 (Tom Latham, 5.5) · 2-51 (Chad Bowes, 7.4) · 3-54 (Matt Boyle, 8.4) · 4-81 (Cole McConchie, 12.0) · 5-93 (Daryl Mitchell, 13.4) · 6-106 (Zakary Foulkes, 14.5) · 7-106 (Kyle Jamieson, 15.0) · 8-107 (Ish Sodhi, 15.3) · 9-132 (Mitchell Hay, 17.4) · 10-136 (Matt Henry, 18.5)
Recorded target: 168 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 23/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 27/0 |
| 6 | 10 | 37/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 43/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 51/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 56/3 |
| 10 | 9 | 65/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 73/3 |
| 12 | 8 | 81/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 87/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 94/5 |
| 15 | 12 | 106/7 |
| 16 | 3 | 109/8 |
| 17 | 15 | 124/8 |
| 18 | 10 | 134/9 |
| 19 | 2 | 136/10 |
Kyle Jamieson: Photographer - David Hollander · CC BY 3.0 nz
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Gareth Severin: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Jesse Tashkoff: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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