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New Zealand tour of Zimbabwe · 2025 · Men
30 Jul 2025 · Test
Recorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Youngcaught · Nick Welch · Blessing Muzarabani4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nick Welch · b Blessing Muzarabani | 41 | 70 | 4 | 0 | 58.57 |
| Devon Conwaycaught · Brian Bennett · Tanaka Chivanga 12 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brian Bennett · b Tanaka Chivanga | 88 | 170 | 12 | 0 | 51.76 |
| Henry Nichollscaught · Brian Bennett · Blessing Muzarabani 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brian Bennett · b Blessing Muzarabani | 34 | 56 | 6 | 0 | 60.71 |
 Rachin Ravindracaught · Craig Ervine · Sikandar Raza0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Craig Ervine · b Sikandar Raza |
| 2 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 20.00 |
| Daryl Mitchellbowled · Newman Nyamhuri 5 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Newman Nyamhuri | 80 | 119 | 5 | 1 | 67.23 |
|---|
 Tom Blundellcaught · Sean Williams · Tanaka Chivanga0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sean Williams · b Tanaka Chivanga | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Michael Bracewellcaught · Tafadzwa Tsiga · Blessing Muzarabani 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tafadzwa Tsiga · b Blessing Muzarabani | 9 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 39.13 |
|---|
| Mitchell Santnercaught and bowled · Vincent Masekesa 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Vincent Masekesa | 19 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 63.33 |
|---|
| Nathan Smithretired hurt · Blessing Muzarabani 1 fours · 0 sixes | retired hurt | 22* | 79 | 1 | 0 | 27.85 |
|---|
 Matt Henrybowled · Sean Williams1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sean Williams | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 William O’Rourkenot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blessing Muzarabani5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 26.0 | 5 | 73 | 3 | 2.81 | 0 | 0 |
| Tanaka Chivanga3 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 18.0 | 3 | 51 | 2 | 2.83 | 1 | 0 |
| Newman Nyamhuri2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.1 | 2 | 64 | 1 | 3.96 | 0 | 0 |
 Sikandar Raza2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 20.0 | 2 | 63 | 1 | 3.15 | 0 | 0 |
 Sean Williams1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 3.29 | 0 | 0 |
| Vincent Masekesa1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 29 | 1 | 3.22 | 0 | 0 |
1-92 (Will Young, 26.1) · 2-158 (Henry Nicholls, 44.4) · 3-163 (Rachin Ravindra, 47.4) · 4-177 (Devon Conway, 54.5) · 5-181 (Tom Blundell, 57.0) · 6-200 (Michael Bracewell, 62.4) · 7-233 (Mitchell Santner, 71.2) · 8-307 (Matt Henry, 95.2) · 9-307 (Daryl Mitchell, 96.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 7/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 11/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 13/0 |
| 6 | 6 | 19/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 24/0 |
| 8 | 12 | 36/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 40/0 |
| 10 | 0 | 40/0 |
| 11 | 0 | 40/0 |
| 12 | 5 | 45/0 |
| 13 | 0 | 45/0 |
| 14 | 6 | 51/0 |
| 15 | 8 | 59/0 |
| 16 | 5 | 64/0 |
| 17 | 3 | 67/0 |
| 18 | 0 | 67/0 |
| 19 | 2 | 69/0 |
| 20 | 2 | 71/0 |
| 21 | 0 | 71/0 |
| 22 | 6 | 77/0 |
| 23 | 6 | 83/0 |
| 24 | 5 | 88/0 |
| 25 | 2 | 90/0 |
| 26 | 2 | 92/0 |
| 27 | 0 | 92/1 |
| 28 | 1 | 93/1 |
| 29 | 5 | 98/1 |
| 30 | 5 | 103/1 |
| 31 | 4 | 107/1 |
| 32 | 0 | 107/1 |
| 33 | 6 | 113/1 |
| 34 | 1 | 114/1 |
| 35 | 8 | 122/1 |
| 36 | 1 | 123/1 |
| 37 | 1 | 124/1 |
| 38 | 1 | 125/1 |
| 39 | 1 | 126/1 |
| 40 | 7 | 133/1 |
| 41 | 13 | 146/1 |
| 42 | 1 | 147/1 |
| 43 | 7 | 154/1 |
| 44 | 0 | 154/1 |
| 45 | 4 | 158/2 |
| 46 | 1 | 159/2 |
| 47 | 3 | 162/2 |
| 48 | 2 | 164/3 |
| 49 | 1 | 165/3 |
| 50 | 5 | 170/3 |
| 51 | 2 | 172/3 |
| 52 | 2 | 174/3 |
| 53 | 1 | 175/3 |
| 54 | 2 | 177/3 |
| 55 | 2 | 179/4 |
| 56 | 1 | 180/4 |
| 57 | 1 | 181/5 |
| 58 | 5 | 186/5 |
| 59 | 3 | 189/5 |
| 60 | 7 | 196/5 |
| 61 | 2 | 198/5 |
| 62 | 1 | 199/5 |
| 63 | 1 | 200/6 |
| 64 | 4 | 204/6 |
| 65 | 2 | 206/6 |
| 66 | 3 | 209/6 |
| 67 | 10 | 219/6 |
| 68 | 5 | 224/6 |
| 69 | 3 | 227/6 |
| 70 | 4 | 231/6 |
| 71 | 2 | 233/6 |
| 72 | 1 | 234/7 |
| 73 | 1 | 235/7 |
| 74 | 6 | 241/7 |
| 75 | 4 | 245/7 |
| 76 | 6 | 251/7 |
| 77 | 2 | 253/7 |
| 78 | 0 | 253/7 |
| 79 | 1 | 254/7 |
| 80 | 2 | 256/7 |
| 81 | 0 | 256/7 |
| 82 | 5 | 261/7 |
| 83 | 5 | 266/7 |
| 84 | 0 | 266/7 |
| 85 | 2 | 268/7 |
| 86 | 4 | 272/7 |
| 87 | 2 | 274/7 |
| 88 | 5 | 279/7 |
| 89 | 5 | 284/7 |
| 90 | 3 | 287/7 |
| 91 | 1 | 288/7 |
| 92 | 3 | 291/7 |
| 93 | 3 | 294/7 |
| 94 | 5 | 299/7 |
| 95 | 8 | 307/7 |
| 96 | 0 | 307/8 |
| 97 | 0 | 307/9 |
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Craig Ervine: TheCricketer · CC BY-SA 4.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Williams: Larry D. Moore · CC BY 4.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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