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New Zealand tour of Zimbabwe · 2025 · Men
30 Jul 2025 · Test
Recorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Bennettcaught · Tom Blundell · William O’Rourke 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Blundell · b William O’Rourke | 18 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 85.71 |
| Ben Currancaught · William O’Rourke · Matt Henry 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · William O’Rourke · b Matt Henry | 11 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 42.31 |
| Nick Welchcaught · Tom Blundell · William O’Rourke 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Blundell · b William O’Rourke | 4 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
| Vincent Masekesacaught · Rachin Ravindra · William O’Rourke 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rachin Ravindra · b William O’Rourke | 2 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 5.00 |
 |
| caught · Tom Blundell · b Mitchell Santner |
| 49 |
| 66 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 74.24 |
 Craig Ervinecaught · Tom Blundell · Matt Henry3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Blundell · b Matt Henry | 22 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 41.51 |
|---|
 Sikandar Razacaught · Rachin Ravindra · Matt Henry1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rachin Ravindra · b Matt Henry | 5 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 22.73 |
|---|
| Tafadzwa Tsigacaught · Devon Conway · Mitchell Santner 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Devon Conway · b Mitchell Santner | 27 | 83 | 2 | 0 | 32.53 |
|---|
| Newman Nyamhuribowled · Mitchell Santner 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mitchell Santner | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11.11 |
|---|
| Blessing Muzarabanicaught · AY Patel · Mitchell Santner 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · AY Patel · b Mitchell Santner | 19 | 38 | 3 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Tanaka Chivanganot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Henry5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 21.0 | 5 | 51 | 3 | 2.43 | 0 | 0 |
 William O’Rourke4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 4 | 28 | 3 | 2.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Bracewell2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 2 | 42 | 0 | 2.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Santner6 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.1 | 6 | 27 | 4 | 1.57 | 0 | 0 |
| Daryl Mitchell1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-25 (Ben Curran, 7.0) · 2-29 (Brian Bennett, 7.5) · 3-34 (Nick Welch, 17.5) · 4-53 (Vincent Masekesa, 21.5) · 5-110 (Sean Williams, 39.1) · 6-110 (Craig Ervine, 40.3) · 7-119 (Sikandar Raza, 46.5) · 8-126 (Newman Nyamhuri, 49.3) · 9-162 (Blessing Muzarabani, 63.3) · 10-165 (Tafadzwa Tsiga, 67.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 8/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 13/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 15/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 24/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 25/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 29/2 |
| 9 | 1 | 30/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 31/2 |
| 11 | 0 | 31/2 |
| 12 | 0 | 31/2 |
| 13 | 0 | 31/2 |
| 14 | 0 | 31/2 |
| 15 | 2 | 33/2 |
| 16 | 1 | 34/2 |
| 17 | 0 | 34/2 |
| 18 | 0 | 34/3 |
| 19 | 5 | 39/3 |
| 20 | 0 | 39/3 |
| 21 | 3 | 42/3 |
| 22 | 12 | 54/4 |
| 23 | 7 | 61/4 |
| 24 | 1 | 62/4 |
| 25 | 6 | 68/4 |
| 26 | 5 | 73/4 |
| 27 | 3 | 76/4 |
| 28 | 3 | 79/4 |
| 29 | 3 | 82/4 |
| 30 | 1 | 83/4 |
| 31 | 0 | 83/4 |
| 32 | 2 | 85/4 |
| 33 | 4 | 89/4 |
| 34 | 1 | 90/4 |
| 35 | 4 | 94/4 |
| 36 | 9 | 103/4 |
| 37 | 1 | 104/4 |
| 38 | 1 | 105/4 |
| 39 | 5 | 110/4 |
| 40 | 0 | 110/5 |
| 41 | 0 | 110/6 |
| 42 | 4 | 114/6 |
| 43 | 0 | 114/6 |
| 44 | 2 | 116/6 |
| 45 | 1 | 117/6 |
| 46 | 1 | 118/6 |
| 47 | 1 | 119/7 |
| 48 | 6 | 125/7 |
| 49 | 0 | 125/7 |
| 50 | 7 | 132/8 |
| 51 | 3 | 135/8 |
| 52 | 2 | 137/8 |
| 53 | 2 | 139/8 |
| 54 | 0 | 139/8 |
| 55 | 1 | 140/8 |
| 56 | 2 | 142/8 |
| 57 | 1 | 143/8 |
| 58 | 1 | 144/8 |
| 59 | 2 | 146/8 |
| 60 | 0 | 146/8 |
| 61 | 9 | 155/8 |
| 62 | 2 | 157/8 |
| 63 | 5 | 162/8 |
| 64 | 0 | 162/9 |
| 65 | 2 | 164/9 |
| 66 | 0 | 164/9 |
| 67 | 1 | 165/9 |
| 68 | 0 | 165/10 |
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Craig Ervine: TheCricketer · CC BY-SA 4.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Williams: Larry D. Moore · CC BY 4.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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