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Photo: BBC Urdu
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England tour of Pakistan · 2024/25 · Men
15 Oct 2024 · Test
Multan Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Abdullah Shafiquecaught · Jamie Smith · Shoaib Bashir0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Shoaib Bashir | 4 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 21.05 |
| Saim Ayubcaught · Ollie Pope · Shoaib Bashir 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Pope · b Shoaib Bashir | 22 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 56.41 |
 Shan Masoodcaught · Ollie Pope · Shoaib Bashir1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Pope · b Shoaib Bashir | 11 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 61.11 |
| Kamran Ghulamlbw · Jack Leach 5 fours · 0 sixes |
| lbw · b Jack Leach |
| 26 |
| 39 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
 Saud Shakeellbw · Jack Leach2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jack Leach | 31 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 60.78 |
|---|
 Mohammad Rizwancaught · Joe Root · Brydon Carse2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Root · b Brydon Carse | 23 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 53.49 |
|---|
| Salman Ali Aghacaught · Ben Stokes · Brydon Carse 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ben Stokes · b Brydon Carse | 63 | 89 | 5 | 1 | 70.79 |
|---|
| Aamer Jamalbowled · Jack Leach 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jack Leach | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 9.09 |
|---|
| Nauman Alicaught · Ben Stokes · Shoaib Bashir 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Stokes · b Shoaib Bashir | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Sajid Khancaught · Jamie Smith · Matthew Potts 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Matthew Potts | 22 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 51.16 |
|---|
| RajaZahidnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 9 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 0 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jack Leach3 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 17.0 | 3 | 67 | 3 | 3.94 | 0 | 2 |
| Shoaib Bashir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 19.0 | 0 | 66 | 4 | 3.47 | 0 | 0 |
 Joe Root0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Brydon Carse1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 29 | 2 | 3.22 | 0 | 1 |
 Matthew Potts0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.2 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 3.56 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Stokes1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 2.60 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Abdullah Shafique, 5.3) · 2-25 (Shan Masood, 9.5) · 3-43 (Saim Ayub, 15.0) · 4-77 (Kamran Ghulam, 20.5) · 5-114 (Mohammad Rizwan, 31.5) · 6-145 (Saud Shakeel, 42.4) · 7-150 (Aamer Jamal, 45.0) · 8-156 (Nauman Ali, 46.1) · 9-221 (Salman Ali Agha, 58.2) · 10-221 (Sajid Khan, 59.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 4/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 6/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 9/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 10/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 15/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 21/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 22/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 25/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 28/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 33/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 37/2 |
| 14 | 0 | 37/2 |
| 15 | 6 | 43/3 |
| 16 | 4 | 47/3 |
| 17 | 3 | 50/3 |
| 18 | 6 | 56/3 |
| 19 | 4 | 60/3 |
| 20 | 7 | 67/3 |
| 21 | 10 | 77/4 |
| 22 | 1 | 78/4 |
| 23 | 4 | 82/4 |
| 24 | 4 | 86/4 |
| 25 | 3 | 89/4 |
| 26 | 2 | 91/4 |
| 27 | 3 | 94/4 |
| 28 | 2 | 96/4 |
| 29 | 6 | 102/4 |
| 30 | 1 | 103/4 |
| 31 | 9 | 112/4 |
| 32 | 2 | 114/5 |
| 33 | 1 | 115/5 |
| 34 | 4 | 119/5 |
| 35 | 1 | 120/5 |
| 36 | 4 | 124/5 |
| 37 | 4 | 128/5 |
| 38 | 4 | 132/5 |
| 39 | 0 | 132/5 |
| 40 | 2 | 134/5 |
| 41 | 5 | 139/5 |
| 42 | 6 | 145/5 |
| 43 | 1 | 146/6 |
| 44 | 1 | 147/6 |
| 45 | 3 | 150/7 |
| 46 | 6 | 156/7 |
| 47 | 7 | 163/8 |
| 48 | 15 | 178/8 |
| 49 | 3 | 181/8 |
| 50 | 4 | 185/8 |
| 51 | 4 | 189/8 |
| 52 | 7 | 196/8 |
| 53 | 7 | 203/8 |
| 54 | 3 | 206/8 |
| 55 | 2 | 208/8 |
| 56 | 6 | 214/8 |
| 57 | 5 | 219/8 |
| 58 | 2 | 221/8 |
| 59 | 0 | 221/9 |
| 60 | 0 | 221/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Leach: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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