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Photo: BBC Urdu
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England tour of Pakistan · 2024/25 · Men
15 Oct 2024 · Test
Multan Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleystumped · Mohammad Rizwan · Nauman Ali0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Mohammad Rizwan · b Nauman Ali | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
 Ben Duckettcaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Sajid Khan0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Sajid Khan | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Ollie Popecaught and bowled · Sajid Khan2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Sajid Khan | 22 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 57.89 |
| lbw · b Nauman Ali |
| 18 |
| 34 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 52.94 |
 Harry Brooklbw · Nauman Ali1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nauman Ali | 16 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 76.19 |
|---|
 Ben Stokesstumped · Mohammad Rizwan · Nauman Ali4 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Mohammad Rizwan · b Nauman Ali | 37 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 102.78 |
|---|
 Jamie Smithcaught · Shan Masood · Nauman Ali1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shan Masood · b Nauman Ali | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
 Brydon Carsecaught · Salman Ali Agha · Nauman Ali0 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Salman Ali Agha · b Nauman Ali | 27 | 32 | 0 | 3 | 84.38 |
|---|
 Matthew Pottsnot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 10 | 2 | 0 | 90.00 |
|---|
 Jack Leachcaught · Abdullah Shafique · Nauman Ali0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abdullah Shafique · b Nauman Ali | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11.11 |
|---|
| Shoaib Bashircaught · Abdullah Shafique · Nauman Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abdullah Shafique · b Nauman Ali | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sajid Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.0 | 0 | 93 | 2 | 5.47 | 0 | 0 |
| Nauman Ali1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.3 | 1 | 46 | 8 | 2.79 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Ben Duckett, 0.3) · 2-11 (Zak Crawley, 3.2) · 3-37 (Ollie Pope, 12.2) · 4-55 (Joe Root, 15.3) · 5-78 (Harry Brook, 19.3) · 6-88 (Jamie Smith, 22.0) · 7-125 (Ben Stokes, 27.2) · 8-138 (Brydon Carse, 31.3) · 9-144 (Jack Leach, 33.2) · 10-144 (Shoaib Bashir, 33.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 2 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 11/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 12/2 |
| 5 | 3 | 15/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 17/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 23/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 24/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 26/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 29/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 36/2 |
| 12 | 1 | 37/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 41/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 45/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 53/3 |
| 16 | 3 | 56/4 |
| 17 | 5 | 61/4 |
| 18 | 11 | 72/4 |
| 19 | 5 | 77/4 |
| 20 | 3 | 80/5 |
| 21 | 3 | 83/5 |
| 22 | 5 | 88/6 |
| 23 | 3 | 91/6 |
| 24 | 5 | 96/6 |
| 25 | 15 | 111/6 |
| 26 | 3 | 114/6 |
| 27 | 7 | 121/6 |
| 28 | 4 | 125/7 |
| 29 | 7 | 132/7 |
| 30 | 1 | 133/7 |
| 31 | 5 | 138/7 |
| 32 | 0 | 138/8 |
| 33 | 6 | 144/8 |
| 34 | 0 | 144/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Leach: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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