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Asia Pacific Cricket Champions Trophy · 2025 · Men
22 Jul 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 47%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 0% to 59% during the match (Malaysia: 41% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syed Azizlbw · Ayush Shukla 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ayush Shukla | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Aslam Khancaught · Aizaz Khan · Ateeq Iqbal 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aizaz Khan · b Ateeq Iqbal | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Ahmed Faizcaught · Aizaz Khan · Nasrulla Rana 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Aizaz Khan · b Nasrulla Rana | 40 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 166.67 |
| Virandeep Singhnot out 7 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 75* | 45 | 7 | 4 | 166.67 |
| Muhamad Syahadatnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 17* | 15 | 2 | 0 | 113.33 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 6 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayush Shukla0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.50 | 3 | 1 |
| Ateeq Iqbal0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 12.29 | 0 | 1 |
| Aizaz Khan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 14.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ehsan Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Yasim Murtaza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Nasrulla Rana0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 12.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-0 (Syed Aziz, 0.1) · 2-5 (Aslam Khan, 1.2) · 3-84 (Ahmed Faiz, 8.4)
Recorded target: 141 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 8 | 12/2 |
| 3 | 12 | 24/2 |
| 4 | 14 | 38/2 |
| 5 | 10 | 48/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 56/2 |
| 7 | 18 | 74/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 78/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 86/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 91/3 |
| 11 | 17 | 108/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 113/3 |
| 13 | 12 | 125/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 134/3 |
| 15 | 10 | 144/3 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.