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Asia Pacific Cricket Champions Trophy · 2025 · Men
22 Jul 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 47%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 0% to 59% during the match (Malaysia: 41% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeeshan Alicaught · Ahmed Faiz · Vijay Unni 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ahmed Faiz · b Vijay Unni | 18 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Anshuman Rathcaught · Sharvin Muniandy · Vijay Unni 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sharvin Muniandy · b Vijay Unni | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Babar Hayatstumped · Ainool Hafizs · Vijay Unni 1 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Ainool Hafizs · b Vijay Unni | 13 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 144.44 |
| Nizakat Khanbowled · Virandeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Virandeep Singh | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Kalhan Challucaught · Sharvin Muniandy · Syed Aziz 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sharvin Muniandy · b Syed Aziz | 40 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 111.11 |
| Yasim Murtazacaught · Syed Aziz · Khizar Hayat 2 fours · 2 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Syed Aziz · b Khizar Hayat |
| 35 |
| 24 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 145.83 |
| Aizaz Khancaught · Ainool Hafizs · Virandeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ainool Hafizs · b Virandeep Singh | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Nasrulla Ranacaught · Virandeep Singh · Khizar Hayat 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Virandeep Singh · b Khizar Hayat | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Ehsan Khancaught · Sharvin Muniandy · Arif Ullah 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sharvin Muniandy · b Arif Ullah | 17 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 154.55 |
|---|
| Ayush Shuklarun out · Syed Aziz, Ahmed Faiz · Syed Aziz 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Syed Aziz, Ahmed Faiz | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ateeq Iqbalnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syed Aziz0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 1 | 2 |
| Vijay Unni0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Khizar Hayat0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Virandeep Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Arif Ullah0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.3 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 10.80 | 2 | 0 |
| Ahmed Aqeel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Anshuman Rath, 1.3) · 2-28 (Babar Hayat, 4.0) · 3-40 (Zeeshan Ali, 5.1) · 4-51 (Nizakat Khan, 7.1) · 5-103 (Yasim Murtaza, 13.5) · 6-104 (Aizaz Khan, 14.2) · 7-111 (Nasrulla Rana, 16.0) · 8-127 (Kalhan Challu, 18.1) · 9-127 (Ayush Shukla, 18.4) · 10-140 (Ehsan Khan, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 28/2 |
| 5 | 12 | 40/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 44/3 |
| 7 | 7 | 51/3 |
| 8 | 8 | 59/4 |
| 9 | 7 | 66/4 |
| 10 | 9 | 75/4 |
| 11 | 6 | 81/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 86/4 |
| 13 | 5 | 91/4 |
| 14 | 12 | 103/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 106/6 |
| 16 | 5 | 111/7 |
| 17 | 12 | 123/7 |
| 18 | 4 | 127/7 |
| 19 | 5 | 132/9 |
| 20 | 8 | 140/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.