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Zimbabwe Women tour of United States of America · 2025 · Women
3 May 2025 · ODI
Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas · Venue photographRecorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zimbabwe started on 32%; Zimbabwe batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D Dhingrarun out · A Zimunu, L Mabhero · A Zimunu 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · A Zimunu, L Mabhero | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| M Patwardhanrun out · Chiedza Dhururu, Nomvelo Sibanda · A Zimunu 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Chiedza Dhururu, Nomvelo Sibanda | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| CR Pagydyalacaught · Nomvelo Sibanda · T Makusha 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nomvelo Sibanda · b T Makusha | 11 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| AI Chudasamarun out · Chiedza Dhururu, R Pasipanodya · Kelis Ndhlovu 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Chiedza Dhururu, R Pasipanodya | 9 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 37.50 |
| Pooja Ganeshcaught · Nomvelo Sibanda · Kelis Ndhlovu 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nomvelo Sibanda · b Kelis Ndhlovu | 45 |
Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 23% to 100% during the match (United States of America: 0% to 77%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 81 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 55.56 |
| Ritu Singhbowled · A Zimunu 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b A Zimunu | 6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 46.15 |
|---|
| JM Willathgamuwarun out · Kelis Ndhlovu, Chiedza Dhururu · L Mabhero 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Kelis Ndhlovu, Chiedza Dhururu | 18 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 48.65 |
|---|
| Geetika Kodalirun out · A Zimunu · Nomvelo Sibanda 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · A Zimunu | 20 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 48.78 |
|---|
| C Prasadcaught · Chipo Mugeri · Nomvelo Sibanda 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chipo Mugeri · b Nomvelo Sibanda | 6 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 26.09 |
|---|
| Maahi Madhavanbowled · R Pasipanodya 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b R Pasipanodya | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| S Immadinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 20 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nomvelo Sibanda1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.1 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 3.07 | 0 | 0 |
| A Zimunu1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 3.40 | 2 | 0 |
| T Makusha0 maidens · 15 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 4.71 | 15 | 0 |
| Kelis Ndhlovu1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| L Mabhero1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| B Biza0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.1 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 3.41 | 2 | 0 |
| R Pasipanodya0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 3.67 | 1 | 0 |
1-2 (D Dhingra, 1.1) · 2-2 (M Patwardhan, 1.2) · 3-24 (AI Chudasama, 8.4) · 4-25 (CR Pagydyala, 9.2) · 5-38 (Ritu Singh, 12.0) · 6-90 (JM Willathgamuwa, 25.4) · 7-123 (Pooja Ganesh, 35.0) · 8-139 (Geetika Kodali, 40.5) · 9-141 (Maahi Madhavan, 41.4) · 10-142 (C Prasad, 42.2)
Recorded target: 271 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 5/2 |
| 3 | 1 | 6/2 |
| 4 | 0 | 6/2 |
| 5 | 3 | 9/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 15/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 21/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 24/2 |
| 9 | 0 | 24/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 28/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 32/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 38/5 |
| 13 | 4 | 42/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 46/5 |
| 15 | 1 | 47/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 52/5 |
| 17 | 2 | 54/5 |
| 18 | 6 | 60/5 |
| 19 | 8 | 68/5 |
| 20 | 6 | 74/5 |
| 21 | 2 | 76/5 |
| 22 | 3 | 79/5 |
| 23 | 4 | 83/5 |
| 24 | 4 | 87/5 |
| 25 | 3 | 90/5 |
| 26 | 0 | 90/6 |
| 27 | 3 | 93/6 |
| 28 | 3 | 96/6 |
| 29 | 4 | 100/6 |
| 30 | 3 | 103/6 |
| 31 | 6 | 109/6 |
| 32 | 5 | 114/6 |
| 33 | 4 | 118/6 |
| 34 | 3 | 121/6 |
| 35 | 2 | 123/7 |
| 36 | 4 | 127/7 |
| 37 | 1 | 128/7 |
| 38 | 4 | 132/7 |
| 39 | 2 | 134/7 |
| 40 | 5 | 139/7 |
| 41 | 0 | 139/8 |
| 42 | 3 | 142/9 |
| 43 | 0 | 142/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.