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Photo: SounderBruce
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Resized to at most 1600px wide and converted to WebP. Display crops vary; source photographs are historical.
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Zimbabwe Women tour of United States of America · 2025 · Women
3 May 2025 · ODI
Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas · Venue photographRecorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zimbabwe started on 32%; Zimbabwe batted first.
On 3 May 2025, Zimbabwe played United States of America at Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas. Recorded result: Zimbabwe won by 128 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.
Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 23% to 100% during the match (United States of America: 0% to 77%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.