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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
7 Jul 2024 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Worcestershire started on 35%; Worcestershire batted first.
Worcestershire's chances ranged from 21% to 81% during the match (Lancashire: 19% to 79%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett D'Oliveiracaught · Matthew Hurst · Saqib Mahmood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Hurst · b Saqib Mahmood | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 116.67 |
 Kashif Alicaught · Steven Croft · Saqib Mahmood1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Steven Croft · b Saqib Mahmood | 16 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 123.08 |
 Josh Cobbcaught · Steven Croft · Chris Green8 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Steven Croft · b Chris Green | 74 | 53 | 8 | 3 | 139.62 |
 Gareth Rodericklbw · Chris Green0 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Chris Green |
| 20 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 130.00 |
 Adam Hosenot out3 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 45* | 26 | 3 | 3 | 173.08 |
|---|
| Ethan Brookesnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 3 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Luke Wood0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Saqib Mahmood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Tom Aspinwall0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 16.50 | 0 | 2 |
 Chris Green0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Tom Hartley0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Luke Wells0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-12 (Brett D'Oliveira, 2.0) · 2-27 (Kashif Ali, 3.4) · 3-84 (Gareth Roderick, 10.5) · 4-162 (Josh Cobb, 18.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 8 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 32/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 33/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 40/2 |
| 7 | 15 | 55/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 63/2 |
| 9 | 11 | 74/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 81/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 84/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 91/3 |
| 13 | 10 | 101/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 110/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 119/3 |
| 16 | 12 | 131/3 |
| 17 | 18 | 149/3 |
| 18 | 13 | 162/4 |
| 19 | 9 | 171/4 |
| 20 | 10 | 181/4 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Kashif Ali: @Ahtasham.135 · CC BY 3.0
Adam Hose: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Waite: Dave Morton · Public domain
Josh Cobb: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Steven Croft: AMBerry · CC BY-SA 3.0
Gareth Roderick: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ed Pollock: Dave Morton · Public domain
Saqib Mahmood: Dave Morton · Public domain
George Lavelle: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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