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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
7 Jul 2024 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Worcestershire started on 35%; Worcestershire batted first.
Worcestershire's chances ranged from 21% to 81% during the match (Lancashire: 19% to 79%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Wellscaught · Gareth Roderick · Tom Taylor 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gareth Roderick · b Tom Taylor | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Keaton Jenningsbowled · Hayden Walsh, Jr. 7 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Hayden Walsh, Jr. | 41 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 205.00 |
| Matthew Hurstcaught · Ed Pollock · Matthew Waite 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ed Pollock · b Matthew Waite | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
 George Lavellerun out · RP Jones · Tom Taylor1 fours · 2 sixes | run out · RP Jones | 20 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 181.82 |
| Tom Brucenot out 3 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 50* |
| 36 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 138.89 |
 Steven Croftcaught · Brett D'Oliveira · Ethan Brookes1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brett D'Oliveira · b Ethan Brookes | 16 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 84.21 |
|---|
 Chris Greencaught · Josh Cobb · Ethan Brookes1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Josh Cobb · b Ethan Brookes | 24 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 141.18 |
|---|
 Tom Hartleycaught · Gareth Roderick · Matthew Waite1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Gareth Roderick · b Matthew Waite | 18 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 360.00 |
|---|
| Tom Aspinwallbowled · Matthew Waite 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Matthew Waite | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Luke Woodnot out0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 9* | 3 | 0 | 1 | 300.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Taylor0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 10.70 | 1 | 0 |
 Matthew Waite0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Harry Darley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 17.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Hayden Walsh, Jr.0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Brett D'Oliveira0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Brookes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Luke Wells, 0.4) · 2-27 (Matthew Hurst, 3.1) · 3-61 (George Lavelle, 5.5) · 4-65 (Keaton Jennings, 6.3) · 5-102 (Steven Croft, 11.4) · 6-150 (Chris Green, 17.3) · 7-171 (Tom Hartley, 18.5) · 8-171 (Tom Aspinwall, 19.0)
Recorded target: 182 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 10 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 15 | 27/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 29/2 |
| 5 | 20 | 49/2 |
| 6 | 14 | 63/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 66/4 |
| 8 | 6 | 72/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 76/4 |
| 10 | 11 | 87/4 |
| 11 | 13 | 100/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 104/5 |
| 13 | 6 | 110/5 |
| 14 | 5 | 115/5 |
| 15 | 7 | 122/5 |
| 16 | 7 | 129/5 |
| 17 | 14 | 143/5 |
| 18 | 21 | 164/6 |
| 19 | 7 | 171/8 |
| 20 | 11 | 182/8 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Kashif Ali: @Ahtasham.135 · CC BY 3.0
Adam Hose: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Waite: Dave Morton · Public domain
Josh Cobb: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Steven Croft: AMBerry · CC BY-SA 3.0
Gareth Roderick: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ed Pollock: Dave Morton · Public domain
Saqib Mahmood: Dave Morton · Public domain
George Lavelle: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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