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Photo: Mat Fascione
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
28 Jun 2026 · T20
Grace Road, Leicester · Venue photographRecorded result
Nottinghamshire started on 49%; Nottinghamshire batted first.
Nottinghamshire's chances ranged from 44% to 100% during the match (Leicestershire: 0% to 56%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rishi Patelbowled · Mohammad Amir 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohammad Amir | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
6 fours · 2 sixes | caught · George Linde · b Benny Howell | 45 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 195.65 |
| Nick Kellybowled · Oli Stone 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Oli Stone | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Amir · b Mohammad Ali | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 62.50 |
| caught · Tom Moores · b Mohammad Ali |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Freddie McCann · b George Linde | 7 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 53.85 |
|---|
| Liam Trevaskiscaught · Freddie McCann · Liam Patterson-White 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Freddie McCann · b Liam Patterson-White | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Ben Greenbowled · Oli Stone 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Oli Stone | 13 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 185.71 |
|---|
1 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Mohammad Amir | 39 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 162.50 |
|---|
| Sam Woodnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 18* | 16 | 1 | 1 | 112.50 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohammad Ali | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mohammad Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 5.22 | 0 | 0 |
| George Linde0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Liam Patterson-White0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Rishi Patel, 0.5) · 2-3 (Nick Kelly, 1.4) · 3-19 (Ben Cox, 3.5) · 4-19 (Ashton Turner, 4.0) · 5-58 (Joey Evison, 8.1) · 6-64 (Rehan Ahmed, 9.3) · 7-74 (Liam Trevaskis, 10.2) · 8-98 (Ben Green, 13.2) · 9-134 (Ben Mike, 17.0) · 10-135 (Alex Green, 17.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 7/2 |
| 3 | 10 | 17/2 |
| 4 | 2 | 19/4 |
| 5 | 15 | 34/4 |
| 6 | 14 | 48/4 |
| 7 | 7 | 55/4 |
| 8 | 3 | 58/4 |
| 9 | 5 | 63/5 |
| 10 | 11 | 74/6 |
| 11 | 2 | 76/7 |
| 12 | 6 | 82/7 |
| 13 | 15 | 97/7 |
| 14 | 9 | 106/8 |
| 15 | 4 | 110/8 |
| 16 | 14 | 124/8 |
| 17 | 10 | 134/9 |
| 18 | 1 | 135/10 |
Ben Mike: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Cox: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Benny Howell: Evertonfc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mohammad Amir: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Green: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.