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Photo: user:jguk
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Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
18 Jun 2025 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographSurrey started on 53%; Surrey batted first.
Surrey's chances ranged from 53% to 100% during the match (Sussex: 0% to 47%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jackscaught · Nathan McAndrew · Tymal Mills4 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Nathan McAndrew · b Tymal Mills | 43 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 215.00 |
 Dominic Sibleycaught · Brad Currie · Henry Crocombe2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Brad Currie · b Henry Crocombe | 45 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 140.63 |
 Jason Roycaught · Tom Clark · Brad Currie0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Clark · b Brad Currie | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Sam Currancaught and bowled · James Coles2 fours · 2 sixes |
| caught and bowled · b James Coles |
| 38 |
| 28 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 135.71 |
| Laurie Evanscaught · George Thomas · Nathan McAndrew 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · George Thomas · b Nathan McAndrew | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
 Tom Curranlbw · Nathan McAndrew3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nathan McAndrew | 20 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 153.85 |
|---|
| Ollie Sykesnot out 2 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 44* | 18 | 2 | 4 | 244.44 |
|---|
 Chris Jordannot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 9 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Currie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
| James Coles0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan McAndrew0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 1 | 2 |
 Tymal Mills0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 55 | 1 | 13.75 | 3 | 0 |
 Henry Crocombe0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 4 | 0 |
 Jack Carson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Danny Lamb0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-52 (Will Jacks, 4.5) · 2-61 (Jason Roy, 5.4) · 3-122 (Sam Curran, 13.0) · 4-134 (Dominic Sibley, 14.0) · 5-141 (Laurie Evans, 15.2) · 6-192 (Tom Curran, 18.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 28/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 37/0 |
| 5 | 15 | 52/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 61/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 68/2 |
| 8 | 9 | 77/2 |
| 9 | 10 | 87/2 |
| 10 | 11 | 98/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 106/2 |
| 12 | 11 | 117/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 122/3 |
| 14 | 12 | 134/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 140/4 |
| 16 | 4 | 144/5 |
| 17 | 19 | 163/5 |
| 18 | 14 | 177/5 |
| 19 | 15 | 192/6 |
| 20 | 18 | 210/6 |
Jack Carson: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Reece Topley: Kyle Andrews · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Henry Crocombe: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dominic Sibley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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