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ICC Women's T20 World Cup Europe Division 1 Qualifier · 2025 · Women
20 Aug 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 78%; Netherlands batted first.
Netherlands's chances ranged from 72% to 100% during the match (Italy: 0% to 28%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Siegerscaught · EL Bartram · C Mahamalage 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · EL Bartram · b C Mahamalage | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| P Molkenboerbowled · S Kanankege 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b S Kanankege | 11 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 61.11 |
| Babette de Leedebowled · ECB Moore 6 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b ECB Moore | 52 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 123.81 |
| Robine Rijkebowled · ECB Moore 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b ECB Moore | 29 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 161.11 |
| Frederique Overdijklbw · A Kontopirakis 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b A Kontopirakis | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
| run out · ECB Moore |
| 20 |
| 14 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 142.86 |
| Iris Zwillingnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 25* | 19 | 1 | 0 | 131.58 |
|---|
| MM Dekelingrun out · Annie Wikman · Annie Wikman 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Annie Wikman | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 11 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C Mahamalage0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| S Kanankege0 maidens · 6 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 6 | 1 |
| Ilenia Sims0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
| ECB Moore0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 |
| A Kontopirakis0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Annie Wikman0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-2 (Heather Siegers, 0.4) · 2-33 (P Molkenboer, 5.4) · 3-95 (Babette de Leede, 12.2) · 4-106 (Frederique Overdijk, 13.5) · 5-110 (Robine Rijke, 14.1) · 6-140 (MIW van den Raad, 18.1) · 7-157 (MM Dekeling, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 11 | 14/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 23/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 30/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 39/2 |
| 7 | 13 | 52/2 |
| 8 | 7 | 59/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 64/2 |
| 10 | 13 | 77/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 84/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 91/2 |
| 13 | 11 | 102/3 |
| 14 | 8 | 110/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 116/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 120/5 |
| 17 | 13 | 133/5 |
| 18 | 6 | 139/5 |
| 19 | 9 | 148/6 |
| 20 | 9 | 157/7 |
Chloe Piparo: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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