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Photo: Mnnngchris at English Wikipedia
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Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
8 Jul 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Derby · Venue photographRecorded result
Somerset started on 61%; Somerset batted first.
Somerset's chances ranged from 53% to 100% during the match (Derbyshire: 0% to 47%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Smeedbowled · Sufyan Moqeem 5 fours · 6 sixes | bowled · b Sufyan Moqeem | 89 | 51 | 5 | 6 | 174.51 |
| Thomas Rewbowled · Martin Andersson 5 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Martin Andersson | 39 | 22 | 5 | 2 | 177.27 |
| James Rewcaught · Akif Javed · Sufyan Moqeem 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Akif Javed · b Sufyan Moqeem | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
 Tom Kohler-Cadmorebowled · Nick Potts2 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Nick Potts | 39 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 177.27 |
 Daniel Samscaught · Jack Morley · Martin Andersson2 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Jack Morley · b Martin Andersson |
| 12 |
| 8 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 150.00 |
| Josh Thomascaught · Matthew Montgomery · Martin Andersson 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Montgomery · b Martin Andersson | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 160.00 |
|---|
 Craig Overtonnot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 7 | 2 | 0 | 171.43 |
|---|
| Lewis Goldsworthynot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Montgomery0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Jack Morley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Akif Javed0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 8.25 | 0 | 1 |
| Nick Potts0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 46 | 1 | 23.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Sufyan Moqeem0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Martin Andersson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-76 (Thomas Rew, 7.2) · 2-79 (James Rew, 8.1) · 3-173 (Tom Kohler-Cadmore, 16.0) · 4-183 (Will Smeed, 17.0) · 5-199 (Daniel Sams, 18.2) · 6-200 (Josh Thomas, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 14 | 26/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 37/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 43/0 |
| 6 | 18 | 61/0 |
| 7 | 9 | 70/0 |
| 8 | 9 | 79/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 83/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 88/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 94/2 |
| 12 | 20 | 114/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 120/2 |
| 14 | 14 | 134/2 |
| 15 | 11 | 145/2 |
| 16 | 28 | 173/3 |
| 17 | 10 | 183/4 |
| 18 | 12 | 195/4 |
| 19 | 7 | 202/6 |
| 20 | 12 | 214/6 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
Harry Came: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jack Morley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Josh Shaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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