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Photo: Mnnngchris at English Wikipedia
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Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
8 Jul 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Derby · Venue photographRecorded result
Somerset started on 61%; Somerset batted first.
Somerset's chances ranged from 53% to 100% during the match (Derbyshire: 0% to 47%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aneurin Donaldcaught · Daniel Sams · Craig Overton6 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Daniel Sams · b Craig Overton | 65 | 27 | 6 | 6 | 240.74 |
| Martin Anderssonbowled · Jake Ball 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jake Ball | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
 Harry Camecaught · James Rew · Daniel Sams2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Rew · b Daniel Sams | 28 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
 Wayne Madsenbowled · Daniel Sams6 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Daniel Sams | 43 | 31 | 6 |
| 0 |
| 138.71 |
| Matthew Montgomerycaught · James Rew · Jake Ball 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Rew · b Jake Ball | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Ross Whiteleynot out1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 29* | 21 | 1 | 1 | 138.10 |
|---|
| MYB Naeemcaught · Josh Thomas · Daniel Sams 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Thomas · b Daniel Sams | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Nick Pottscaught · Tom Kohler-Cadmore · Riley Meredith 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Kohler-Cadmore · b Riley Meredith | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Craig Overton0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Riley Meredith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 10.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Jake Ball0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Daniel Sams0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Josh Shaw0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Lewis Goldsworthy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Thomas0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-45 (Martin Andersson, 3.1) · 2-74 (Aneurin Donald, 6.0) · 3-110 (Harry Came, 10.1) · 4-124 (Matthew Montgomery, 12.3) · 5-161 (Wayne Madsen, 17.2) · 6-165 (MYB Naeem, 17.4) · 7-187 (Nick Potts, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 18 | 26/0 |
| 3 | 19 | 45/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 57/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 67/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 74/2 |
| 7 | 15 | 89/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 94/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 100/2 |
| 10 | 10 | 110/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 113/3 |
| 12 | 10 | 123/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 130/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 134/4 |
| 15 | 8 | 142/4 |
| 16 | 11 | 153/4 |
| 17 | 7 | 160/4 |
| 18 | 8 | 168/6 |
| 19 | 11 | 179/6 |
| 20 | 8 | 187/7 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
Harry Came: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jack Morley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Josh Shaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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