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Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
14 Jan 2026 · T20
Bellerive Oval, Hobart · Venue photographRecorded result
Brisbane Heat started on 37%; Brisbane Heat batted first.
Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 1% to 75% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 25% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Usman Khawajacaught · Mitchell Owen · Beau Webster0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mitchell Owen · b Beau Webster | 19 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 105.56 |
| Jack Wildermuthbowled · Riley Meredith 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Riley Meredith | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 54.55 |
| Nathan McSweeneycaught · Tim Ward · Nathan Ellis 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tim Ward · b Nathan Ellis | 49 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 153.13 |
 Matt Renshawcaught · Ben McDermott · Rishad Hossain2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ben McDermott · b Rishad Hossain | 37 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 148.00 |
| bowled · b Nathan Ellis |
| 20 |
| 14 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 142.86 |
 James Peirsoncaught · M Wright · Riley Meredith1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Wright · b Riley Meredith | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Marnus Labuschagnecaught · Mitchell Owen · Rishad Hossain0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mitchell Owen · b Rishad Hossain | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
 Michael Nesernot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Xavier Bartlettbowled · Riley Meredith 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Riley Meredith | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Matthew Kuhnemannnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikhil Chaudhary0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Riley Meredith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 3 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Ellis0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Chris Jordan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 1 | 0 |
 Rishad Hossain0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Beau Webster0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Rehan Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Owen0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-18 (Jack Wildermuth, 3.1) · 2-46 (Usman Khawaja, 6.4) · 3-110 (Matt Renshaw, 13.5) · 4-127 (Nathan McSweeney, 15.1) · 5-146 (Max Bryant, 17.3) · 6-153 (Marnus Labuschagne, 18.5) · 7-153 (James Peirson, 19.1) · 8-159 (Xavier Bartlett, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 18/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 30/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 37/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 42/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 51/2 |
| 8 | 10 | 61/2 |
| 9 | 16 | 77/2 |
| 10 | 12 | 89/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 95/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 100/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 106/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 111/3 |
| 15 | 16 | 127/3 |
| 16 | 11 | 138/4 |
| 17 | 6 | 144/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 150/5 |
| 19 | 3 | 153/6 |
| 20 | 7 | 160/8 |
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rishad Hossain: Press Information Department · Public domain
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Matthew Wade: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Michael Neser: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Peirson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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