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United Arab Emirates T20I Tri-Series · 2025 · Men
4 Sept 2025 · T20
Sharjah Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 37%; Pakistan batted first.
Pakistan's chances ranged from 18% to 100% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 0% to 82%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sahibzada Farhancaught · Ethan Carl D'Souza · D Parashar 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ethan Carl D'Souza · b D Parashar | 16 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 145.45 |
| Saim Ayubcaught · Rahul Chopra · Junaid Siddique 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Rahul Chopra · b Junaid Siddique | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 110.00 |
 Fakhar Zamannot out10 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 77* | 44 | 10 | 2 | 175.00 |
| Salman Ali Aghacaught · Rahul Chopra · Muhammad Rohid 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rahul Chopra · b Muhammad Rohid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
| Mohammad Harislbw · Haider Ali 1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Haider Ali |
| 14 |
| 17 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 82.35 |
| Hassan Nawazcaught · Rahul Chopra · Haider Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rahul Chopra · b Haider Ali | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Mohammad Nawaznot out 3 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 37* | 27 | 3 | 2 | 137.04 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junaid Siddique0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 52 | 1 | 13.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Muhammad Rohid0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| D Parashar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Jawadullah0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 12.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Haider Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Carl D'Souza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-28 (Sahibzada Farhan, 2.5) · 2-35 (Saim Ayub, 4.1) · 3-50 (Salman Ali Agha, 5.4) · 4-74 (Mohammad Haris, 10.0) · 5-80 (Hassan Nawaz, 11.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 16 | 29/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 35/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 45/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 50/3 |
| 7 | 7 | 57/3 |
| 8 | 9 | 66/3 |
| 9 | 7 | 73/3 |
| 10 | 1 | 74/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 78/4 |
| 12 | 3 | 81/5 |
| 13 | 8 | 89/5 |
| 14 | 3 | 92/5 |
| 15 | 5 | 97/5 |
| 16 | 11 | 108/5 |
| 17 | 10 | 118/5 |
| 18 | 11 | 129/5 |
| 19 | 20 | 149/5 |
| 20 | 22 | 171/5 |
Shaheen Afridi: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fakhar Zaman: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Abrar Ahmed: Nazly Ahmed · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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