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North America T20 Cup · 2025 · Men
19 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 63%; United States of America batted first.
United States of America's chances ranged from 64% to 100% during the match (Cayman Islands: 0% to 36%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shayan Jahangircaught · Sacha De Alwis · Romario Edwards 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sacha De Alwis · b Romario Edwards | 39 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 139.29 |
| Saiteja Mukkamallacaught · Davion Codner · Conroy Wright 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Davion Codner · b Conroy Wright | 17 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 170.00 |
| Monank Patelcaught · Conroy Wright · Davion Codner 5 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Conroy Wright · b Davion Codner | 76 | 45 | 5 | 4 | 168.89 |
| Milind Kumarcaught · D Johnson · A Wright 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · D Johnson · b A Wright | 15 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 136.36 |
| Aaron Jonescaught · D Johnson · Romario Edwards 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Johnson · b Romario Edwards | 14 |
| 12 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 116.67 |
| Sanjay Krishnamurthicaught · A Wright · Conroy Wright 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Wright · b Conroy Wright | 12 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 92.31 |
|---|
| Ali Sheikhnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 7 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conroy Wright0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| D Johnson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Romario Edwards0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
| A Wright0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Alistair Ifill0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 4 | 0 |
| Davion Codner0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 14.00 | 0 | 1 |
1-34 (Saiteja Mukkamalla, 3.3) · 2-89 (Shayan Jahangir, 10.4) · 3-127 (Milind Kumar, 14.1) · 4-158 (Monank Patel, 16.2) · 5-180 (Aaron Jones, 19.0) · 6-186 (Sanjay Krishnamurthi, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 14 | 33/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 37/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 41/1 |
| 6 | 19 | 60/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 65/1 |
| 8 | 6 | 71/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 80/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 86/1 |
| 11 | 6 | 92/2 |
| 12 | 10 | 102/2 |
| 13 | 10 | 112/2 |
| 14 | 15 | 127/2 |
| 15 | 13 | 140/3 |
| 16 | 12 | 152/3 |
| 17 | 14 | 166/4 |
| 18 | 8 | 174/4 |
| 19 | 6 | 180/5 |
| 20 | 6 | 186/6 |
Ramon Sealy: BugWarp · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
