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North America T20 Cup · 2025 · Men
19 Apr 2025 · T20
Recorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 63%; United States of America batted first.
United States of America's chances ranged from 64% to 100% during the match (Cayman Islands: 0% to 36%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Bakercaught · Milind Kumar · Saurabh Netravalkar 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Milind Kumar · b Saurabh Netravalkar | 30 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 150.00 |
| Sacha De Alwiscaught · Saiteja Mukkamalla · Yasir Mohammad 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Saiteja Mukkamalla · b Yasir Mohammad | 13 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 92.86 |
| AR Naidoolbw · Saurabh Netravalkar 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Saurabh Netravalkar | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Ramon Sealycaught · Milind Kumar · Ali Sheikh1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Milind Kumar · b Ali Sheikh | 17 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 94.44 |
| S Fosterbowled · Yasir Mohammad 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b Yasir Mohammad |
| 10 |
| 18 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 55.56 |
| D Johnsonstumped · Shayan Jahangir · Yasir Mohammad 0 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Shayan Jahangir · b Yasir Mohammad | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 111.11 |
|---|
| Davion Codnercaught · Ali Sheikh · Yasir Mohammad 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ali Sheikh · b Yasir Mohammad | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Romario Edwardsnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 19 | 0 | 0 | 42.11 |
|---|
| Conroy Wrightnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 18 | 1 | 0 | 61.11 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B Akhilesh Reddy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Saurabh Netravalkar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Jasdeep Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ali Sheikh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Yasir Mohammad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 4 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-33 (J Baker, 3.4) · 2-33 (AR Naidoo, 3.5) · 3-52 (Sacha De Alwis, 7.2) · 4-68 (Ramon Sealy, 10.5) · 5-71 (S Foster, 12.1) · 6-75 (Davion Codner, 13.0) · 7-84 (D Johnson, 14.4)
Recorded target: 187 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 31/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 33/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 38/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 45/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 50/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 54/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 60/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 65/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 68/4 |
| 12 | 3 | 71/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 75/6 |
| 14 | 2 | 77/6 |
| 15 | 7 | 84/7 |
| 16 | 2 | 86/7 |
| 17 | 1 | 87/7 |
| 18 | 3 | 90/7 |
| 19 | 9 | 99/7 |
| 20 | 8 | 107/7 |
Ramon Sealy: BugWarp · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
