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Photo: The original uploader was PaddyBriggs at English Wikipedia.
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ICC Women's T20 World Cup · 2024/25 · Women
13 Oct 2024 · T20
Sharjah Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Scotland started on 16%; Scotland batted first.
Scotland's chances ranged from 0% to 24% during the match (England: 76% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Bouchiernot out 12 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 62* | 34 | 12 | 0 | 182.35 |
 Danielle Wyattnot out7 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 51* | 26 | 7 | 0 | 196.15 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Slater0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 13.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Olivia Bell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 |
| 21 |
| 0 |
| 10.50 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Kathryn Bryce0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 10.33 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Abtaha Maqsood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Katherine Fraser0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| Darcey Carter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
Recorded target: 110 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 18/0 |
| 4 | 18 | 36/0 |
| 5 | 15 | 51/0 |
| 6 | 15 | 66/0 |
| 7 | 11 | 77/0 |
| 8 | 12 | 89/0 |
| 9 | 11 | 100/0 |
| 10 | 13 | 113/0 |
Heather Knight: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Charlie Dean: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amy Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Ecclestone: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Gibson: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophia Dunkley: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nat Sciver-Brunt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Wyatt: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Sarah Glenn: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Bell: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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