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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
13 Jul 2025 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Middlesex started on 41%; Middlesex batted first.
Middlesex's chances ranged from 0% to 46% during the match (Kent: 54% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tawanda Muyeyecaught · Leus du Plooy · Ryan Higgins 4 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Leus du Plooy · b Ryan Higgins | 59 | 41 | 4 | 3 | 143.90 |
 Harry Finchcaught and bowled · Zafar Gohar5 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Zafar Gohar | 36 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 128.57 |
 Joe Denlybowled · Tom Helm5 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Tom Helm | 46 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 148.39 |
 Sam Billingsnot out3 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 20* | 7 | 3 | 1 | 285.71 |
| not out |
| 0* |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Noah Cornwell0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Tom Helm0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
 Ryan Higgins0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.1 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 8.84 | 1 | 0 |
| Joshua Little0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 14.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Luke Hollman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Zafar Gohar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-66 (Harry Finch, 7.2) · 2-136 (Tawanda Muyeye, 15.5) · 3-159 (Joe Denly, 17.4)
Recorded target: 161 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 14/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 23/0 |
| 5 | 16 | 39/0 |
| 6 | 20 | 59/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 65/0 |
| 8 | 7 | 72/1 |
| 9 | 10 | 82/1 |
| 10 | 10 | 92/1 |
| 11 | 9 | 101/1 |
| 12 | 9 | 110/1 |
| 13 | 9 | 119/1 |
| 14 | 7 | 126/1 |
| 15 | 3 | 129/1 |
| 16 | 7 | 136/2 |
| 17 | 15 | 151/2 |
| 18 | 8 | 159/3 |
| 19 | 6 | 165/3 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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