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India tour of Australia · 2024/25 · Men
14 Dec 2024 · Test
Brisbane Cricket Ground · Venue photographAustralia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan McSweeneycaught · Rishabh Pant · Akash Deep 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Akash Deep | 4 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 16.00 |
 Usman Khawajabowled · Jasprit Bumrah2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jasprit Bumrah | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 114.29 |
 Marnus Labuschagnecaught · Rishabh Pant · Jasprit Bumrah0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Jasprit Bumrah | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11.11 |
 |
| caught · Rishabh Pant · b Akash Deep |
| 2 |
| 13 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 15.38 |
 Travis Headcaught · Rishabh Pant · Mohammed Siraj2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Mohammed Siraj | 17 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 89.47 |
|---|
 Steve Smithcaught · Rishabh Pant · Mohammed Siraj1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Mohammed Siraj | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
 Alex Careynot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 20* | 20 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Pat Cumminscaught · KL Rahul · Jasprit Bumrah2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · KL Rahul · b Jasprit Bumrah | 22 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 220.00 |
|---|
 Mitchell Starcnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 0 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jasprit Bumrah1 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 2 |
 Mohammed Siraj0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 5.14 | 0 | 0 |
| Akash Deep1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 28 | 2 | 5.60 | 0 | 0 |
1-11 (Usman Khawaja, 2.4) · 2-16 (Marnus Labuschagne, 6.1) · 3-16 (Nathan McSweeney, 7.3) · 4-28 (Mitchell Marsh, 9.5) · 5-33 (Steve Smith, 11.0) · 6-60 (Travis Head, 14.4) · 7-85 (Pat Cummins, 17.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 11/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 12/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 14/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 15/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 16/2 |
| 8 | 0 | 16/3 |
| 9 | 10 | 26/3 |
| 10 | 2 | 28/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 33/5 |
| 12 | 6 | 39/5 |
| 13 | 5 | 44/5 |
| 14 | 12 | 56/5 |
| 15 | 4 | 60/6 |
| 16 | 13 | 73/6 |
| 17 | 12 | 85/6 |
| 18 | 4 | 89/7 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Marnus Labuschagne: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Nitish Kumar Reddy: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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