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Photo: Michal Klajban
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
West Indies tour of New Zealand · 2025/26 · Men
2 Dec 2025 · Test
Hagley Oval, Christchurch · Venue photographNew Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tevin Imlach · b Justin Greaves | 24 | 85 | 2 | 0 | 28.24 |
| Devon Conwaycaught · Justin Greaves · Kemar Roach 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Justin Greaves · b Kemar Roach | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alick Athanaze · b Justin Greaves | 52 | 102 | 6 | 0 | 50.98 |
| bowled · b Jayden Seales |
| 3 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Justin Greaves · b Johann Layne | 14 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 36.84 |
|---|
2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ojay Shields | 29 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 74.36 |
|---|
| Michael Bracewellcaught · Tagenarine Chanderpaul · Ojay Shields 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tagenarine Chanderpaul · b Ojay Shields | 47 | 73 | 6 | 0 | 64.38 |
|---|
| Nathan Smithcaught · John Campbell · Roston Chase 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · John Campbell · b Roston Chase | 23 | 61 | 3 | 0 | 37.70 |
|---|
| Zakary Foulkescaught · Tevin Imlach · Jayden Seales 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tevin Imlach · b Jayden Seales | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jayden Seales · b Kemar Roach | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 160.00 |
|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 6 · noballs: 6 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.0 | 6 | 47 | 2 | 2.76 | 0 | 2 | |
| Jayden Seales3 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 15.3 | 3 | 44 | 2 | 2.84 | 0 | 2 |
| Johann Layne1 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 1 | 47 | 1 | 4.27 | 5 | 0 |
| Ojay Shields2 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 9.0 | 2 | 34 | 2 | 3.78 | 1 | 2 |
| Justin Greaves3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 3 | 35 | 2 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| 8.0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 1.63 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Devon Conway, 0.3) · 2-94 (Kane Williamson, 29.4) · 3-95 (Tom Latham, 31.2) · 4-103 (Rachin Ravindra, 33.0) · 5-120 (Will Young, 41.0) · 6-148 (Tom Blundell, 48.3) · 7-200 (Nathan Smith, 64.4) · 8-215 (Michael Bracewell, 68.5) · 9-227 (Matt Henry, 69.4) · 10-231 (Zakary Foulkes, 70.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 1 | 2/1 |
| 3 | 0 | 2/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 5/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 8/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 11/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 11/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 12/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 13/1 |
| 10 | 4 | 17/1 |
| 11 | 0 | 17/1 |
| 12 | 14 | 31/1 |
| 13 | 6 | 37/1 |
| 14 | 2 | 39/1 |
| 15 | 1 | 40/1 |
| 16 | 0 | 40/1 |
| 17 | 7 | 47/1 |
| 18 | 7 | 54/1 |
| 19 | 5 | 59/1 |
| 20 | 6 | 65/1 |
| 21 | 8 | 73/1 |
| 22 | 4 | 77/1 |
| 23 | 4 | 81/1 |
| 24 | 2 | 83/1 |
| 25 | 3 | 86/1 |
| 26 | 0 | 86/1 |
| 27 | 3 | 89/1 |
| 28 | 4 | 93/1 |
| 29 | 1 | 94/1 |
| 30 | 0 | 94/2 |
| 31 | 1 | 95/2 |
| 32 | 0 | 95/3 |
| 33 | 8 | 103/4 |
| 34 | 3 | 106/4 |
| 35 | 0 | 106/4 |
| 36 | 2 | 108/4 |
| 37 | 1 | 109/4 |
| 38 | 0 | 109/4 |
| 39 | 4 | 113/4 |
| 40 | 2 | 115/4 |
| 41 | 5 | 120/5 |
| 42 | 3 | 123/5 |
| 43 | 5 | 128/5 |
| 44 | 7 | 135/5 |
| 45 | 0 | 135/5 |
| 46 | 1 | 136/5 |
| 47 | 5 | 141/5 |
| 48 | 7 | 148/5 |
| 49 | 0 | 148/6 |
| 50 | 6 | 154/6 |
| 51 | 2 | 156/6 |
| 52 | 5 | 161/6 |
| 53 | 2 | 163/6 |
| 54 | 0 | 163/6 |
| 55 | 3 | 166/6 |
| 56 | 8 | 174/6 |
| 57 | 0 | 174/6 |
| 58 | 10 | 184/6 |
| 59 | 4 | 188/6 |
| 60 | 3 | 191/6 |
| 61 | 1 | 192/6 |
| 62 | 1 | 193/6 |
| 63 | 0 | 193/6 |
| 64 | 6 | 199/6 |
| 65 | 1 | 200/7 |
| 66 | 9 | 209/7 |
| 67 | 2 | 211/7 |
| 68 | 0 | 211/7 |
| 69 | 8 | 219/8 |
| 70 | 12 | 231/9 |
| 71 | 0 | 231/10 |
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kemar Roach: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.