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Photo: Michal Klajban
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
West Indies tour of New Zealand · 2025/26 · Men
2 Dec 2025 · Test
Hagley Oval, Christchurch · Venue photographNew Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tom Lathamcaught · Tevin Imlach · Kemar Roach12 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tevin Imlach · b Kemar Roach | 145 | 250 | 12 | 0 | 58.00 |
| Devon Conwaycaught · KAR Hodge · Ojay Shields 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · KAR Hodge · b Ojay Shields | 37 | 78 | 7 | 0 | 47.44 |
 Kane Williamsoncaught · Tevin Imlach · Kemar Roach1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tevin Imlach · b Kemar Roach | 9 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 32.14 |
 |
| bowled · b Ojay Shields |
| 176 |
| 185 |
| 27 |
| 1 |
| 95.14 |
 Will Youngcaught · Shai Hope · Jayden Seales3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shai Hope · b Jayden Seales | 23 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 109.52 |
|---|
| Michael Bracewellcaught · Tevin Imlach · Kemar Roach 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tevin Imlach · b Kemar Roach | 24 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 54.55 |
|---|
| Zakary Foulkesnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 33 | 2 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Matt Henrycaught · Tevin Imlach · Kemar Roach0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tevin Imlach · b Kemar Roach | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 133.33 |
|---|
 Jacob Duffycaught and bowled · Kemar Roach2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Kemar Roach | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 111.11 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 8 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kemar Roach6 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 22.0 | 6 | 78 | 5 | 3.55 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Seales4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 22.0 | 4 | 72 | 1 | 3.27 | 0 | 0 |
| Ojay Shields3 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.0 | 3 | 74 | 2 | 4.35 | 7 | 0 |
 Roston Chase0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 19.0 | 0 | 70 | 0 | 3.68 | 0 | 0 |
| Johann Layne0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 0 | 80 | 0 | 6.15 | 2 | 0 |
| Justin Greaves1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.0 | 1 | 80 | 0 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-84 (Devon Conway, 27.0) · 2-100 (Kane Williamson, 32.5) · 3-379 (Tom Latham, 87.3) · 4-410 (Rachin Ravindra, 92.1) · 5-420 (Will Young, 97.2) · 6-448 (Michael Bracewell, 104.4) · 7-456 (Matt Henry, 106.2) · 8-466 (Jacob Duffy, 109.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 19/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 23/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 28/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 32/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 34/0 |
| 9 | 6 | 40/0 |
| 10 | 0 | 40/0 |
| 11 | 2 | 42/0 |
| 12 | 0 | 42/0 |
| 13 | 1 | 43/0 |
| 14 | 0 | 43/0 |
| 15 | 5 | 48/0 |
| 16 | 4 | 52/0 |
| 17 | 1 | 53/0 |
| 18 | 0 | 53/0 |
| 19 | 4 | 57/0 |
| 20 | 0 | 57/0 |
| 21 | 2 | 59/0 |
| 22 | 4 | 63/0 |
| 23 | 4 | 67/0 |
| 24 | 0 | 67/0 |
| 25 | 5 | 72/0 |
| 26 | 3 | 75/0 |
| 27 | 9 | 84/1 |
| 28 | 5 | 89/1 |
| 29 | 1 | 90/1 |
| 30 | 4 | 94/1 |
| 31 | 2 | 96/1 |
| 32 | 4 | 100/1 |
| 33 | 0 | 100/2 |
| 34 | 9 | 109/2 |
| 35 | 0 | 109/2 |
| 36 | 5 | 114/2 |
| 37 | 0 | 114/2 |
| 38 | 7 | 121/2 |
| 39 | 2 | 123/2 |
| 40 | 2 | 125/2 |
| 41 | 9 | 134/2 |
| 42 | 3 | 137/2 |
| 43 | 6 | 143/2 |
| 44 | 3 | 146/2 |
| 45 | 4 | 150/2 |
| 46 | 3 | 153/2 |
| 47 | 10 | 163/2 |
| 48 | 8 | 171/2 |
| 49 | 5 | 176/2 |
| 50 | 9 | 185/2 |
| 51 | 1 | 186/2 |
| 52 | 2 | 188/2 |
| 53 | 8 | 196/2 |
| 54 | 7 | 203/2 |
| 55 | 9 | 212/2 |
| 56 | 4 | 216/2 |
| 57 | 1 | 217/2 |
| 58 | 4 | 221/2 |
| 59 | 3 | 224/2 |
| 60 | 9 | 233/2 |
| 61 | 5 | 238/2 |
| 62 | 9 | 247/2 |
| 63 | 2 | 249/2 |
| 64 | 6 | 255/2 |
| 65 | 8 | 263/2 |
| 66 | 3 | 266/2 |
| 67 | 1 | 267/2 |
| 68 | 11 | 278/2 |
| 69 | 1 | 279/2 |
| 70 | 4 | 283/2 |
| 71 | 4 | 287/2 |
| 72 | 7 | 294/2 |
| 73 | 5 | 299/2 |
| 74 | 8 | 307/2 |
| 75 | 2 | 309/2 |
| 76 | 4 | 313/2 |
| 77 | 2 | 315/2 |
| 78 | 10 | 325/2 |
| 79 | 6 | 331/2 |
| 80 | 10 | 341/2 |
| 81 | 5 | 346/2 |
| 82 | 10 | 356/2 |
| 83 | 5 | 361/2 |
| 84 | 4 | 365/2 |
| 85 | 5 | 370/2 |
| 86 | 3 | 373/2 |
| 87 | 4 | 377/2 |
| 88 | 6 | 383/3 |
| 89 | 3 | 386/3 |
| 90 | 5 | 391/3 |
| 91 | 14 | 405/3 |
| 92 | 5 | 410/3 |
| 93 | 5 | 415/4 |
| 94 | 1 | 416/4 |
| 95 | 1 | 417/4 |
| 96 | 3 | 420/4 |
| 97 | 0 | 420/4 |
| 98 | 0 | 420/5 |
| 99 | 5 | 425/5 |
| 100 | 3 | 428/5 |
| 101 | 5 | 433/5 |
| 102 | 8 | 441/5 |
| 103 | 0 | 441/5 |
| 104 | 6 | 447/5 |
| 105 | 2 | 449/6 |
| 106 | 1 | 450/6 |
| 107 | 7 | 457/7 |
| 108 | 1 | 458/7 |
| 109 | 8 | 466/8 |
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kemar Roach: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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