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Photo: Michal Klajban
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
West Indies tour of New Zealand · 2025/26 · Men
2 Dec 2025 · Test
Hagley Oval, Christchurch · Venue photographNew Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Campbellcaught · Michael Bracewell · Jacob Duffy 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michael Bracewell · b Jacob Duffy | 15 | 38 | 3 | 0 | 39.47 |
| Tagenarine Chanderpaulcaught · Tom Latham · Jacob Duffy 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Latham · b Jacob Duffy | 6 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 13.33 |
| Alick Athanazecaught · Zakary Foulkes · Michael Bracewell 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zakary Foulkes · b Michael Bracewell | 5 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 22.73 |
 Shai Hopecaught · Tom Latham · Jacob Duffy15 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Tom Latham · b Jacob Duffy | 140 | 234 |
| 15 |
| 2 |
| 59.83 |
 Roston Chasecaught · Tom Latham · Matt Henry1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Latham · b Matt Henry | 4 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 26.67 |
|---|
| Justin Greavesnot out 19 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 202* | 388 | 19 | 0 | 52.06 |
|---|
| Tevin Imlachlbw · Zakary Foulkes 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Zakary Foulkes | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 44.44 |
|---|
 Kemar Roachnot out8 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 58* | 233 | 8 | 0 | 24.89 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 13 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 1 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matt Henry4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 4 | 29 | 1 | 2.64 | 0 | 0 |
| Zakary Foulkes6 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 33.0 | 6 | 80 | 1 | 2.42 | 0 | 0 |
 Jacob Duffy10 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 43.0 | 10 | 122 | 3 | 2.84 | 1 | 2 |
| Michael Bracewell11 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 55.0 | 11 | 138 | 1 | 2.51 | 0 | 0 |
 Rachin Ravindra3 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 21.3 | 3 | 69 | 0 | 3.21 | 0 | 1 |
1-24 (John Campbell, 12.5) · 2-25 (Tagenarine Chanderpaul, 14.1) · 3-55 (Alick Athanaze, 23.2) · 4-72 (Roston Chase, 28.3) · 5-268 (Shai Hope, 92.1) · 6-277 (Tevin Imlach, 95.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 6/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 6/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 8/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 8/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 8/0 |
| 8 | 0 | 8/0 |
| 9 | 8 | 16/0 |
| 10 | 4 | 20/0 |
| 11 | 0 | 20/0 |
| 12 | 0 | 20/0 |
| 13 | 4 | 24/1 |
| 14 | 1 | 25/1 |
| 15 | 0 | 25/2 |
| 16 | 6 | 31/2 |
| 17 | 6 | 37/2 |
| 18 | 0 | 37/2 |
| 19 | 5 | 42/2 |
| 20 | 3 | 45/2 |
| 21 | 4 | 49/2 |
| 22 | 0 | 49/2 |
| 23 | 6 | 55/2 |
| 24 | 4 | 59/3 |
| 25 | 5 | 64/3 |
| 26 | 4 | 68/3 |
| 27 | 0 | 68/3 |
| 28 | 4 | 72/3 |
| 29 | 0 | 72/4 |
| 30 | 1 | 73/4 |
| 31 | 2 | 75/4 |
| 32 | 1 | 76/4 |
| 33 | 0 | 76/4 |
| 34 | 8 | 84/4 |
| 35 | 8 | 92/4 |
| 36 | 2 | 94/4 |
| 37 | 3 | 97/4 |
| 38 | 7 | 104/4 |
| 39 | 3 | 107/4 |
| 40 | 0 | 107/4 |
| 41 | 1 | 108/4 |
| 42 | 3 | 111/4 |
| 43 | 5 | 116/4 |
| 44 | 6 | 122/4 |
| 45 | 1 | 123/4 |
| 46 | 6 | 129/4 |
| 47 | 3 | 132/4 |
| 48 | 3 | 135/4 |
| 49 | 2 | 137/4 |
| 50 | 1 | 138/4 |
| 51 | 0 | 138/4 |
| 52 | 0 | 138/4 |
| 53 | 9 | 147/4 |
| 54 | 12 | 159/4 |
| 55 | 2 | 161/4 |
| 56 | 5 | 166/4 |
| 57 | 6 | 172/4 |
| 58 | 8 | 180/4 |
| 59 | 1 | 181/4 |
| 60 | 1 | 182/4 |
| 61 | 2 | 184/4 |
| 62 | 0 | 184/4 |
| 63 | 9 | 193/4 |
| 64 | 1 | 194/4 |
| 65 | 1 | 195/4 |
| 66 | 2 | 197/4 |
| 67 | 4 | 201/4 |
| 68 | 0 | 201/4 |
| 69 | 4 | 205/4 |
| 70 | 6 | 211/4 |
| 71 | 0 | 211/4 |
| 72 | 0 | 211/4 |
| 73 | 1 | 212/4 |
| 74 | 0 | 212/4 |
| 75 | 5 | 217/4 |
| 76 | 13 | 230/4 |
| 77 | 0 | 230/4 |
| 78 | 1 | 231/4 |
| 79 | 2 | 233/4 |
| 80 | 2 | 235/4 |
| 81 | 4 | 239/4 |
| 82 | 12 | 251/4 |
| 83 | 0 | 251/4 |
| 84 | 0 | 251/4 |
| 85 | 4 | 255/4 |
| 86 | 3 | 258/4 |
| 87 | 1 | 259/4 |
| 88 | 3 | 262/4 |
| 89 | 3 | 265/4 |
| 90 | 1 | 266/4 |
| 91 | 1 | 267/4 |
| 92 | 1 | 268/4 |
| 93 | 0 | 268/5 |
| 94 | 4 | 272/5 |
| 95 | 5 | 277/5 |
| 96 | 1 | 278/6 |
| 97 | 6 | 284/6 |
| 98 | 1 | 285/6 |
| 99 | 3 | 288/6 |
| 100 | 2 | 290/6 |
| 101 | 4 | 294/6 |
| 102 | 1 | 295/6 |
| 103 | 3 | 298/6 |
| 104 | 4 | 302/6 |
| 105 | 5 | 307/6 |
| 106 | 5 | 312/6 |
| 107 | 1 | 313/6 |
| 108 | 1 | 314/6 |
| 109 | 5 | 319/6 |
| 110 | 0 | 319/6 |
| 111 | 10 | 329/6 |
| 112 | 5 | 334/6 |
| 113 | 3 | 337/6 |
| 114 | 1 | 338/6 |
| 115 | 13 | 351/6 |
| 116 | 5 | 356/6 |
| 117 | 4 | 360/6 |
| 118 | 4 | 364/6 |
| 119 | 2 | 366/6 |
| 120 | 2 | 368/6 |
| 121 | 1 | 369/6 |
| 122 | 7 | 376/6 |
| 123 | 4 | 380/6 |
| 124 | 2 | 382/6 |
| 125 | 5 | 387/6 |
| 126 | 3 | 390/6 |
| 127 | 3 | 393/6 |
| 128 | 3 | 396/6 |
| 129 | 1 | 397/6 |
| 130 | 1 | 398/6 |
| 131 | 1 | 399/6 |
| 132 | 5 | 404/6 |
| 133 | 3 | 407/6 |
| 134 | 4 | 411/6 |
| 135 | 0 | 411/6 |
| 136 | 4 | 415/6 |
| 137 | 0 | 415/6 |
| 138 | 7 | 422/6 |
| 139 | 1 | 423/6 |
| 140 | 3 | 426/6 |
| 141 | 1 | 427/6 |
| 142 | 1 | 428/6 |
| 143 | 1 | 429/6 |
| 144 | 1 | 430/6 |
| 145 | 1 | 431/6 |
| 146 | 1 | 432/6 |
| 147 | 1 | 433/6 |
| 148 | 1 | 434/6 |
| 149 | 1 | 435/6 |
| 150 | 1 | 436/6 |
| 151 | 1 | 437/6 |
| 152 | 0 | 437/6 |
| 153 | 0 | 437/6 |
| 154 | 2 | 439/6 |
| 155 | 0 | 439/6 |
| 156 | 1 | 440/6 |
| 157 | 3 | 443/6 |
| 158 | 2 | 445/6 |
| 159 | 0 | 445/6 |
| 160 | 1 | 446/6 |
| 161 | 4 | 450/6 |
| 162 | 2 | 452/6 |
| 163 | 5 | 457/6 |
| 164 | 0 | 457/6 |
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jacob Duffy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kemar Roach: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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