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Zimbabwe tour of England · 2025 · Men
22 May 2025 · Test
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleylbw · Sikandar Raza14 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sikandar Raza | 124 | 171 | 14 | 0 | 72.51 |
 Ben Duckettcaught · Ben Curran · Wesley Madhevere20 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ben Curran · b Wesley Madhevere | 140 | 134 | 20 | 2 | 104.48 |
 Ollie Popecaught · Tafadzwa Tsiga · Tanaka Chivanga24 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Tafadzwa Tsiga · b Tanaka Chivanga | 171 | 166 | 24 | 2 | 103.01 |
 |
| caught · Sean Williams · b Blessing Muzarabani |
| 34 |
| 44 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 77.27 |
 Harry Brookbowled · Blessing Muzarabani6 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Blessing Muzarabani | 58 | 50 | 6 | 3 | 116.00 |
|---|
 Ben Stokescaught · Ben Curran · Blessing Muzarabani1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Curran · b Blessing Muzarabani | 9 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 69.23 |
|---|
 Jamie Smithnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 10 · wides: 6 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Ngarava1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 42 | 0 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Blessing Muzarabani3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 24.3 | 3 | 143 | 3 | 5.84 | 0 | 0 |
| Tanaka Chivanga0 maidens · 6 wides · 3 no-balls | 16.0 | 0 | 117 | 1 | 7.31 | 6 | 3 |
| Victor Nyauchi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 18.0 | 0 | 103 | 0 | 5.72 | 0 | 0 |
 Sikandar Raza1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 24.0 | 1 | 93 | 1 | 3.88 | 0 | 0 |
| Wesley Madhevere0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 11.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Brian Bennett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-231 (Ben Duckett, 41.3) · 2-368 (Zak Crawley, 65.1) · 3-479 (Joe Root, 82.4) · 4-502 (Ollie Pope, 89.3) · 5-548 (Ben Stokes, 94.5) · 6-565 (Harry Brook, 96.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 9/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 13/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 16/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 19/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 26/0 |
| 8 | 10 | 36/0 |
| 9 | 7 | 43/0 |
| 10 | 4 | 47/0 |
| 11 | 12 | 59/0 |
| 12 | 0 | 59/0 |
| 13 | 4 | 63/0 |
| 14 | 4 | 67/0 |
| 15 | 8 | 75/0 |
| 16 | 10 | 85/0 |
| 17 | 7 | 92/0 |
| 18 | 1 | 93/0 |
| 19 | 0 | 93/0 |
| 20 | 5 | 98/0 |
| 21 | 7 | 105/0 |
| 22 | 7 | 112/0 |
| 23 | 5 | 117/0 |
| 24 | 8 | 125/0 |
| 25 | 4 | 129/0 |
| 26 | 1 | 130/0 |
| 27 | 3 | 133/0 |
| 28 | 4 | 137/0 |
| 29 | 12 | 149/0 |
| 30 | 2 | 151/0 |
| 31 | 8 | 159/0 |
| 32 | 5 | 164/0 |
| 33 | 5 | 169/0 |
| 34 | 9 | 178/0 |
| 35 | 3 | 181/0 |
| 36 | 10 | 191/0 |
| 37 | 3 | 194/0 |
| 38 | 10 | 204/0 |
| 39 | 4 | 208/0 |
| 40 | 10 | 218/0 |
| 41 | 3 | 221/0 |
| 42 | 15 | 236/1 |
| 43 | 12 | 248/1 |
| 44 | 7 | 255/1 |
| 45 | 9 | 264/1 |
| 46 | 2 | 266/1 |
| 47 | 7 | 273/1 |
| 48 | 2 | 275/1 |
| 49 | 4 | 279/1 |
| 50 | 3 | 282/1 |
| 51 | 1 | 283/1 |
| 52 | 4 | 287/1 |
| 53 | 8 | 295/1 |
| 54 | 3 | 298/1 |
| 55 | 13 | 311/1 |
| 56 | 2 | 313/1 |
| 57 | 9 | 322/1 |
| 58 | 6 | 328/1 |
| 59 | 4 | 332/1 |
| 60 | 3 | 335/1 |
| 61 | 11 | 346/1 |
| 62 | 6 | 352/1 |
| 63 | 7 | 359/1 |
| 64 | 4 | 363/1 |
| 65 | 5 | 368/1 |
| 66 | 1 | 369/2 |
| 67 | 4 | 373/2 |
| 68 | 4 | 377/2 |
| 69 | 12 | 389/2 |
| 70 | 0 | 389/2 |
| 71 | 7 | 396/2 |
| 72 | 6 | 402/2 |
| 73 | 10 | 412/2 |
| 74 | 4 | 416/2 |
| 75 | 1 | 417/2 |
| 76 | 6 | 423/2 |
| 77 | 5 | 428/2 |
| 78 | 2 | 430/2 |
| 79 | 10 | 440/2 |
| 80 | 13 | 453/2 |
| 81 | 16 | 469/2 |
| 82 | 7 | 476/2 |
| 83 | 3 | 479/3 |
| 84 | 4 | 483/3 |
| 85 | 0 | 483/3 |
| 86 | 3 | 486/3 |
| 87 | 6 | 492/3 |
| 88 | 6 | 498/3 |
| 89 | 1 | 499/3 |
| 90 | 4 | 503/4 |
| 91 | 5 | 508/4 |
| 92 | 10 | 518/4 |
| 93 | 13 | 531/4 |
| 94 | 14 | 545/4 |
| 95 | 3 | 548/5 |
| 96 | 7 | 555/5 |
| 97 | 10 | 565/6 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Cook: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Craig Ervine: TheCricketer · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Williams: Larry D. Moore · CC BY 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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