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Zimbabwe tour of England · 2025 · Men
22 May 2025 · Test
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Bennettlbw · Gus Atkinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Gus Atkinson | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10.00 |
| Ben Currancaught · Ben Stokes · Shoaib Bashir 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Stokes · b Shoaib Bashir | 37 | 104 | 1 | 0 | 35.58 |
 Craig Ervinecaught · Ollie Pope · Josh Tongue0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Pope · b Josh Tongue | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 15.38 |
 Sean Williamslbw · Shoaib Bashir16 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Shoaib Bashir | 88 | 82 | 16 | 0 | 107.32 |
 Sikandar Razacaught · Harry Brook · Shoaib Bashir10 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Harry Brook · b Shoaib Bashir |
| 60 |
| 68 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 88.24 |
| Wesley Madheverecaught · Harry Brook · Ben Stokes 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Ben Stokes | 31 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 86.11 |
|---|
| Tafadzwa Tsigabowled · Shoaib Bashir 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shoaib Bashir | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 30.77 |
|---|
| Blessing Muzarabanicaught · Joe Root · Shoaib Bashir 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Root · b Shoaib Bashir | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Victor Nyauchinot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 17 | 2 | 0 | 76.47 |
|---|
| Tanaka Chivangalbw · Shoaib Bashir 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Shoaib Bashir | 10 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sam Cook3 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 3 | 47 | 0 | 3.36 | 1 | 0 |
| Gus Atkinson2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 2 | 17 | 1 | 2.83 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Tongue0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 12.0 | 0 | 65 | 1 | 5.42 | 0 | 1 |
| Shoaib Bashir1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 18.0 | 1 | 81 | 6 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Stokes0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 5.13 | 1 | 2 |
 Joe Root1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (Brian Bennett, 3.1) · 2-7 (Craig Ervine, 7.2) · 3-129 (Sean Williams, 32.3) · 4-142 (Ben Curran, 36.2) · 5-207 (Wesley Madhevere, 47.4) · 6-218 (Tafadzwa Tsiga, 51.0) · 7-222 (Blessing Muzarabani, 52.2) · 8-241 (Sikandar Raza, 56.2) · 9-255 (Tanaka Chivanga, 59.0)
Absent hurt: R Ngarava
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 3/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 4/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 5/1 |
| 6 | 0 | 5/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 6/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 15/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 17/2 |
| 10 | 13 | 30/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 37/2 |
| 12 | 0 | 37/2 |
| 13 | 9 | 46/2 |
| 14 | 1 | 47/2 |
| 15 | 4 | 51/2 |
| 16 | 7 | 58/2 |
| 17 | 3 | 61/2 |
| 18 | 5 | 66/2 |
| 19 | 2 | 68/2 |
| 20 | 5 | 73/2 |
| 21 | 10 | 83/2 |
| 22 | 6 | 89/2 |
| 23 | 3 | 92/2 |
| 24 | 5 | 97/2 |
| 25 | 4 | 101/2 |
| 26 | 0 | 101/2 |
| 27 | 6 | 107/2 |
| 28 | 2 | 109/2 |
| 29 | 11 | 120/2 |
| 30 | 3 | 123/2 |
| 31 | 2 | 125/2 |
| 32 | 3 | 128/2 |
| 33 | 3 | 131/3 |
| 34 | 8 | 139/3 |
| 35 | 2 | 141/3 |
| 36 | 1 | 142/3 |
| 37 | 7 | 149/4 |
| 38 | 0 | 149/4 |
| 39 | 4 | 153/4 |
| 40 | 10 | 163/4 |
| 41 | 8 | 171/4 |
| 42 | 0 | 171/4 |
| 43 | 6 | 177/4 |
| 44 | 12 | 189/4 |
| 45 | 4 | 193/4 |
| 46 | 7 | 200/4 |
| 47 | 3 | 203/4 |
| 48 | 4 | 207/5 |
| 49 | 6 | 213/5 |
| 50 | 2 | 215/5 |
| 51 | 3 | 218/6 |
| 52 | 4 | 222/6 |
| 53 | 5 | 227/7 |
| 54 | 8 | 235/7 |
| 55 | 1 | 236/7 |
| 56 | 5 | 241/7 |
| 57 | 0 | 241/8 |
| 58 | 3 | 244/8 |
| 59 | 11 | 255/9 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Cook: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Craig Ervine: TheCricketer · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Williams: Larry D. Moore · CC BY 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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