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Zimbabwe tour of England · 2025 · Men
22 May 2025 · Test
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Bennettcaught · Ollie Pope · Josh Tongue 26 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ollie Pope · b Josh Tongue | 139 | 143 | 26 | 0 | 97.20 |
| Ben Currancaught · Harry Brook · Sam Cook 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Sam Cook | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
 Craig Ervinecaught · Harry Brook · Shoaib Bashir6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Shoaib Bashir | 42 | 64 | 6 | 0 | 65.63 |
 Sean Williamsbowled · Shoaib Bashir4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shoaib Bashir | 25 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 60.98 |
 Sikandar Razacaught · Jamie Smith · Ben Stokes0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Ben Stokes | 7 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 36.84 |
|---|
| Wesley Madheverebowled · Ben Stokes 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ben Stokes | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Tafadzwa Tsigabowled · Shoaib Bashir 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shoaib Bashir | 22 | 49 | 4 | 0 | 44.90 |
|---|
| Blessing Muzarabanibowled · Gus Atkinson 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Gus Atkinson | 12 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Tanaka Chivangalbw · Gus Atkinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Gus Atkinson | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 10.53 |
|---|
| Victor Nyauchinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 0 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sam Cook1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.0 | 1 | 72 | 1 | 4.24 | 0 | 0 |
| Gus Atkinson2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.2 | 2 | 58 | 2 | 4.35 | 0 | 0 |
| Shoaib Bashir2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.4 | 2 | 62 | 3 | 3.72 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Tongue1 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 13.0 | 1 | 56 | 1 | 4.31 | 0 | 3 |
 Ben Stokes2 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.2 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 3.30 | 0 | 1 |
1-31 (Ben Curran, 4.3) · 2-96 (Craig Ervine, 20.4) · 3-156 (Sean Williams, 32.3) · 4-187 (Sikandar Raza, 38.2) · 5-199 (Wesley Madhevere, 41.0) · 6-246 (Brian Bennett, 54.3) · 7-251 (Tafadzwa Tsiga, 56.1) · 8-258 (Tanaka Chivanga, 61.4) · 9-265 (Blessing Muzarabani, 63.2)
Absent hurt: R Ngarava
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 22/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 31/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 34/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 38/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 43/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 48/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 52/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 54/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 58/1 |
| 12 | 1 | 59/1 |
| 13 | 5 | 64/1 |
| 14 | 5 | 69/1 |
| 15 | 1 | 70/1 |
| 16 | 3 | 73/1 |
| 17 | 0 | 73/1 |
| 18 | 6 | 79/1 |
| 19 | 12 | 91/1 |
| 20 | 5 | 96/1 |
| 21 | 1 | 97/2 |
| 22 | 2 | 99/2 |
| 23 | 1 | 100/2 |
| 24 | 9 | 109/2 |
| 25 | 7 | 116/2 |
| 26 | 8 | 124/2 |
| 27 | 0 | 124/2 |
| 28 | 5 | 129/2 |
| 29 | 2 | 131/2 |
| 30 | 8 | 139/2 |
| 31 | 12 | 151/2 |
| 32 | 1 | 152/2 |
| 33 | 4 | 156/3 |
| 34 | 8 | 164/3 |
| 35 | 1 | 165/3 |
| 36 | 1 | 166/3 |
| 37 | 6 | 172/3 |
| 38 | 15 | 187/3 |
| 39 | 4 | 191/4 |
| 40 | 8 | 199/4 |
| 41 | 0 | 199/5 |
| 42 | 3 | 202/5 |
| 43 | 8 | 210/5 |
| 44 | 1 | 211/5 |
| 45 | 1 | 212/5 |
| 46 | 7 | 219/5 |
| 47 | 7 | 226/5 |
| 48 | 3 | 229/5 |
| 49 | 5 | 234/5 |
| 50 | 1 | 235/5 |
| 51 | 5 | 240/5 |
| 52 | 5 | 245/5 |
| 53 | 1 | 246/5 |
| 54 | 0 | 246/5 |
| 55 | 0 | 246/6 |
| 56 | 5 | 251/6 |
| 57 | 3 | 254/7 |
| 58 | 0 | 254/7 |
| 59 | 2 | 256/7 |
| 60 | 0 | 256/7 |
| 61 | 1 | 257/7 |
| 62 | 1 | 258/8 |
| 63 | 7 | 265/8 |
| 64 | 0 | 265/9 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Cook: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Craig Ervine: TheCricketer · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sikandar Raza: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Williams: Larry D. Moore · CC BY 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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