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Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
10 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Sussex started on 52%; Sussex batted first.
Sussex's chances ranged from 45% to 100% during the match (Middlesex: 0% to 55%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh de Cairesbowled · Jack Carson 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Jack Carson | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 150.00 |
| Matt Boylecaught · Tom Alsop · Jack Leaning 4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tom Alsop · b Jack Leaning | 34 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 141.67 |
| Max Holdenlbw · Tom Price 6 fours · 3 sixes | lbw · b Tom Price | 52 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 260.00 |
 Leus du Plooycaught · Tom Price · Tymal Mills2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Tom Price · b Tymal Mills | 37 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 132.14 |
| Ben Geddescaught · Jack Leaning · Tymal Mills 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Leaning · b Tymal Mills | 8 |
| 7 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 114.29 |
| Joe Cracknellcaught · Jack Leaning · Danny Briggs 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Leaning · b Danny Briggs | 8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 72.73 |
|---|
 Luke Hollmancaught and bowled · Tymal Mills1 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Tymal Mills | 22 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 137.50 |
|---|
 Zafar Goharcaught · Tom Alsop · Danny Briggs0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Alsop · b Danny Briggs | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
 Tom Helmbowled · Danny Briggs0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Danny Briggs | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Noah Cornwellnot out0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 7* | 2 | 0 | 1 | 350.00 |
|---|
| Neha Sharmanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Hunt0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 12.67 | 1 | 0 |
 Jack Carson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Jack Leaning0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Tymal Mills0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 3 | 8.50 | 7 | 0 |
 Tom Price0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Danny Briggs0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
1-18 (Josh de Caires, 1.5) · 2-93 (Matt Boyle, 7.5) · 3-101 (Max Holden, 8.4) · 4-119 (Ben Geddes, 10.4) · 5-138 (Joe Cracknell, 14.0) · 6-168 (Leus du Plooy, 17.0) · 7-184 (Luke Hollman, 19.0) · 8-186 (Zafar Gohar, 19.2) · 9-188 (Tom Helm, 19.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 15/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 19/1 |
| 3 | 14 | 33/1 |
| 4 | 20 | 53/1 |
| 5 | 16 | 69/1 |
| 6 | 13 | 82/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 88/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 93/2 |
| 9 | 13 | 106/3 |
| 10 | 10 | 116/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 121/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 127/4 |
| 13 | 8 | 135/4 |
| 14 | 3 | 138/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 147/5 |
| 16 | 6 | 153/5 |
| 17 | 15 | 168/6 |
| 18 | 11 | 179/6 |
| 19 | 5 | 184/7 |
| 20 | 11 | 195/9 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Carson: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Price: Dave Morton · Public domain
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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