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Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
10 Jul 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Sussex started on 52%; Sussex batted first.
Sussex's chances ranged from 45% to 100% during the match (Middlesex: 0% to 55%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Wardlbw · Neha Sharma 3 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Neha Sharma | 29 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 181.25 |
| Daniel Hughesnot out 11 fours · 6 sixes | not out | 108* | 52 | 11 | 6 | 207.69 |
| George Thomascaught · Tom Helm · Noah Cornwell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Helm · b Noah Cornwell | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
 Jack Leaningcaught · Joe Cracknell · Neha Sharma9 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Cracknell · b Neha Sharma | 65 | 48 | 9 | 0 | 135.42 |
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler |
|---|
| Overs |
|---|
| M |
|---|
| R |
|---|
| W |
|---|
| Runs / 6 balls |
|---|
| WD |
|---|
| NB |
|---|
 Noah Cornwell0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 55 | 1 | 13.75 | 3 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neha Sharma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Helm0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Zafar Gohar0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 2 | 0 |
 Luke Hollman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 48 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-32 (Harrison Ward, 3.4) · 2-44 (George Thomas, 4.5) · 3-213 (Jack Leaning, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 23/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 31/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 35/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 45/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 53/2 |
| 7 | 4 | 57/2 |
| 8 | 14 | 71/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 77/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 84/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 92/2 |
| 12 | 12 | 104/2 |
| 13 | 14 | 118/2 |
| 14 | 9 | 127/2 |
| 15 | 20 | 147/2 |
| 16 | 15 | 162/2 |
| 17 | 19 | 181/2 |
| 18 | 11 | 192/2 |
| 19 | 12 | 204/2 |
| 20 | 9 | 213/3 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Carson: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Price: Dave Morton · Public domain
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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