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South Africa tour of Zimbabwe · 2025 · Men
6 Jul 2025 · Test
Recorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dion Myersbowled · Corbin Bosch 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Corbin Bosch | 11 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 39.29 |
| Tafadzwanashe Kaitanocaught · Dewald Brevis · Senuran Muthusamy 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dewald Brevis · b Senuran Muthusamy | 40 | 76 | 5 | 0 | 52.63 |
| Nick Welchcaught · Wiaan Mulder · Senuran Muthusamy 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Wiaan Mulder · b Senuran Muthusamy | 55 | 126 | 3 | 2 | 43.65 |
2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Wiaan Mulder | 11 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 110.00 |
| caught · Kyle Verreynne · b Corbin Bosch |
| 49 |
| 95 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 51.58 |
| Wesley Madheverelbw · Codi Yusuf 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Codi Yusuf | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 55.56 |
|---|
| Tafadzwa Tsigacaught · Lesego Senokwane · Codi Yusuf 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lesego Senokwane · b Codi Yusuf | 1 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 5.00 |
|---|
| Wellington Masakadzanot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 17* | 62 | 3 | 0 | 27.42 |
|---|
| Kundai Matigimubowled · Corbin Bosch 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Corbin Bosch | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Blessing Muzarabanicaught · Lesego Senokwane · Corbin Bosch 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lesego Senokwane · b Corbin Bosch | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Tanaka Chivangacaught · Wiaan Mulder · Senuran Muthusamy 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Wiaan Mulder · b Senuran Muthusamy | 22 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 84.62 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Codi Yusuf3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.0 | 3 | 38 | 2 | 2.24 | 0 | 0 |
| Corbin Bosch8 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 19.0 | 8 | 38 | 4 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
| 8.0 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Prenelan Subrayen3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 2.57 | 0 | 0 |
| Senuran Muthusamy1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 19.3 | 1 | 77 | 3 | 3.95 | 0 | 1 |
1-31 (Dion Myers, 9.2) · 2-64 (Tafadzwanashe Kaitano, 23.2) · 3-103 (Sean Williams, 28.5) · 4-153 (Nick Welch, 50.0) · 5-166 (Wesley Madhevere, 52.3) · 6-177 (Tafadzwa Tsiga, 58.3) · 7-182 (Craig Ervine, 64.1) · 8-182 (Kundai Matigimu, 64.4) · 9-184 (Blessing Muzarabani, 68.5) · 10-220 (Tanaka Chivanga, 77.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 1/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 5/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 13/0 |
| 5 | 4 | 17/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 21/0 |
| 7 | 1 | 22/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 26/0 |
| 9 | 5 | 31/0 |
| 10 | 0 | 31/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 36/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 41/1 |
| 13 | 1 | 42/1 |
| 14 | 5 | 47/1 |
| 15 | 2 | 49/1 |
| 16 | 2 | 51/1 |
| 17 | 3 | 54/1 |
| 18 | 3 | 57/1 |
| 19 | 0 | 57/1 |
| 20 | 1 | 58/1 |
| 21 | 1 | 59/1 |
| 22 | 1 | 60/1 |
| 23 | 4 | 64/1 |
| 24 | 1 | 65/2 |
| 25 | 2 | 67/2 |
| 26 | 10 | 77/2 |
| 27 | 10 | 87/2 |
| 28 | 13 | 100/2 |
| 29 | 3 | 103/3 |
| 30 | 4 | 107/3 |
| 31 | 1 | 108/3 |
| 32 | 2 | 110/3 |
| 33 | 2 | 112/3 |
| 34 | 1 | 113/3 |
| 35 | 0 | 113/3 |
| 36 | 9 | 122/3 |
| 37 | 3 | 125/3 |
| 38 | 0 | 125/3 |
| 39 | 0 | 125/3 |
| 40 | 1 | 126/3 |
| 41 | 2 | 128/3 |
| 42 | 0 | 128/3 |
| 43 | 2 | 130/3 |
| 44 | 4 | 134/3 |
| 45 | 6 | 140/3 |
| 46 | 2 | 142/3 |
| 47 | 1 | 143/3 |
| 48 | 9 | 152/3 |
| 49 | 0 | 152/3 |
| 50 | 1 | 153/4 |
| 51 | 8 | 161/4 |
| 52 | 4 | 165/4 |
| 53 | 1 | 166/5 |
| 54 | 3 | 169/5 |
| 55 | 0 | 169/5 |
| 56 | 0 | 169/5 |
| 57 | 1 | 170/5 |
| 58 | 6 | 176/5 |
| 59 | 1 | 177/6 |
| 60 | 1 | 178/6 |
| 61 | 3 | 181/6 |
| 62 | 0 | 181/6 |
| 63 | 0 | 181/6 |
| 64 | 1 | 182/6 |
| 65 | 0 | 182/8 |
| 66 | 1 | 183/8 |
| 67 | 0 | 183/8 |
| 68 | 0 | 183/8 |
| 69 | 2 | 185/9 |
| 70 | 10 | 195/9 |
| 71 | 5 | 200/9 |
| 72 | 1 | 201/9 |
| 73 | 0 | 201/9 |
| 74 | 1 | 202/9 |
| 75 | 4 | 206/9 |
| 76 | 9 | 215/9 |
| 77 | 5 | 220/9 |
| 78 | 0 | 220/10 |
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Craig Ervine: TheCricketer · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Williams: Larry D. Moore · CC BY 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.