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South Africa tour of Zimbabwe · 2025 · Men
6 Jul 2025 · Test
Recorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
On 6 Jul 2025, South Africa played Zimbabwe at Queens Sports Club, Bulawayo. Recorded result: South Africa won by 236 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.