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Photo: Mattinbgn ( talk · contribs )
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Big Bash League · 2026/27 · Women
29 Oct 2026 · T20
Junction Oval, Melbourne · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Stars started on 43%; Melbourne Stars batted first.
Melbourne Stars's chances ranged from 37% to 100% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 0% to 63%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ruth Johnston · b Chinelle Henry | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 130.00 |
10 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Heather Graham | 71 | 52 | 10 | 0 | 136.54 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Lizelle Lee · b Lauren Smith | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| lbw · b Heather Graham |
| 57 |
| 36 |
| 5 |
| 2 |
| 158.33 |
2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 22* | 11 | 2 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 13 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 13.67 | 2 | 0 | |
| 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 3 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 | |
| I Aery0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 12.00 | 7 | 0 |
1-26 (Rhys McKenna, 3.0) · 2-51 (Amy Jones, 6.1) · 3-160 (Meg Lanning, 17.1) · 4-165 (Annabel Sutherland, 17.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 14 | 40/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 43/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 51/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 54/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 59/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 65/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 71/2 |
| 11 | 13 | 84/2 |
| 12 | 16 | 100/2 |
| 13 | 9 | 109/2 |
| 14 | 18 | 127/2 |
| 15 | 4 | 131/2 |
| 16 | 12 | 143/2 |
| 17 | 17 | 160/2 |
| 18 | 7 | 167/4 |
| 19 | 10 | 177/4 |
| 20 | 15 | 192/4 |
Lauren Smith: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chamari Atapattu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Charlie Dean: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amy Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ruth Johnston: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Carly Leeson: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Meg Lanning: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Day: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Maddy Green: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Gibson: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Maisy Gibson: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Molly Strano: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kim Garth: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Naomi Stalenberg: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chinelle Henry: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lizelle Lee: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rhys McKenna: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Annabel Sutherland: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nicola Carey: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Heather Graham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.