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Photo: Mattinbgn ( talk · contribs )
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Big Bash League · 2026/27 · Women
29 Oct 2026 · T20
Junction Oval, Melbourne · Venue photographRecorded result
Melbourne Stars started on 43%; Melbourne Stars batted first.
Melbourne Stars's chances ranged from 37% to 100% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 0% to 63%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lizelle Leecaught · Meg Lanning · Kim Garth6 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Meg Lanning · b Kim Garth | 57 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 172.73 |
 Chamari Atapattubowled · Kim Garth2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kim Garth | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 125.00 |
| Rachel Trenamancaught · Rhys McKenna · Annabel Sutherland 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rhys McKenna · b Annabel Sutherland | 24 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 141.18 |
 Nicola Careystumped · Amy Jones · Annabel Sutherland4 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Amy Jones · b Annabel Sutherland |
| 32 |
| 25 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 128.00 |
 Heather Grahambowled · Charlie Dean4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Charlie Dean | 20 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
 Maddy Greenbowled · Danielle Gibson1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Danielle Gibson | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
 Chinelle Henrynot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 11 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Ruth Johnstoncaught · Charlie Dean · Annabel Sutherland0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Charlie Dean · b Annabel Sutherland | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Lauren Smithstumped · Amy Jones · Danielle Gibson1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Amy Jones · b Danielle Gibson | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
 Molly Stranonot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kim Garth0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 5 | 0 |
 Charlie Dean0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Annabel Sutherland0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 3 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Sophie Day0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Maisy Gibson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Carly Leeson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Danielle Gibson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-24 (Chamari Atapattu, 2.4) · 2-83 (Rachel Trenaman, 8.3) · 3-108 (Lizelle Lee, 10.4) · 4-138 (Heather Graham, 14.1) · 5-149 (Maddy Green, 16.0) · 6-163 (Nicola Carey, 18.4) · 7-163 (Ruth Johnston, 18.5) · 8-168 (Lauren Smith, 19.2)
Recorded target: 193 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 14/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 15 | 41/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 53/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 62/1 |
| 7 | 12 | 74/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 78/1 |
| 9 | 11 | 89/2 |
| 10 | 14 | 103/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 108/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 114/3 |
| 13 | 16 | 130/3 |
| 14 | 8 | 138/3 |
| 15 | 2 | 140/4 |
| 16 | 9 | 149/5 |
| 17 | 6 | 155/5 |
| 18 | 6 | 161/5 |
| 19 | 3 | 164/7 |
| 20 | 10 | 174/8 |
Lauren Smith: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chamari Atapattu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Charlie Dean: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amy Jones: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ruth Johnston: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Carly Leeson: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Meg Lanning: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Day: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Maddy Green: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Danielle Gibson: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Maisy Gibson: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Molly Strano: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kim Garth: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Naomi Stalenberg: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chinelle Henry: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lizelle Lee: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rhys McKenna: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Annabel Sutherland: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nicola Carey: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Heather Graham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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