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Photo: Nelsonpubliclibraries
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Super Smash · 2024/25 · Women
4 Jan 2025 · T20
Saxton Oval, Nelson · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 63%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 35% to 100% during the match (Central Districts: 0% to 66%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hollie Armitagebowled · Jess Kerr0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jess Kerr | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Emma McLeodbowled · Leigh Kasperek 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Leigh Kasperek | 14 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
 Thamsyn Newtoncaught · CR King · Jess Kerr0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · CR King · b Jess Kerr | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Hannah Rowebowled · Ellyse Perry 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ellyse Perry | 23 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 63.89 |
| Mikaela Greigcaught and bowled · Amelia Kerr0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught and bowled · b Amelia Kerr |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Flora Devonshirelbw · Leigh Kasperek 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Leigh Kasperek | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| GK Atkinsonlbw · Ellyse Perry 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ellyse Perry | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 55.56 |
|---|
| Rosemary Maircaught · CR King · Jess Kerr 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · CR King · b Jess Kerr | 23 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 109.52 |
|---|
| KJ Gagingcaught · NE Codyre · Leigh Kasperek 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · NE Codyre · b Leigh Kasperek | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Claudia Greencaught · Jess McFadyen · Leigh Kasperek 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jess McFadyen · b Leigh Kasperek | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 128.57 |
|---|
| OJS Bartlettnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jess Kerr0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Ellyse Perry0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
| XA Jetly0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.33 | 1 | 0 |
 Amelia Kerr0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Leigh Kasperek0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (Hollie Armitage, 2.1) · 2-7 (Thamsyn Newton, 2.3) · 3-31 (Emma McLeod, 8.0) · 4-34 (Mikaela Greig, 8.4) · 5-37 (Flora Devonshire, 9.3) · 6-47 (GK Atkinson, 12.1) · 7-60 (Hannah Rowe, 14.5) · 8-61 (KJ Gaging, 15.2) · 9-75 (Claudia Green, 17.1) · 10-89 (Rosemary Mair, 19.0)
Recorded target: 115 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 9/2 |
| 4 | 6 | 15/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 19/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 23/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 29/2 |
| 8 | 2 | 31/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 34/4 |
| 10 | 5 | 39/5 |
| 11 | 3 | 42/5 |
| 12 | 5 | 47/5 |
| 13 | 1 | 48/6 |
| 14 | 7 | 55/6 |
| 15 | 5 | 60/7 |
| 16 | 6 | 66/8 |
| 17 | 9 | 75/8 |
| 18 | 9 | 84/9 |
| 19 | 5 | 89/10 |
Leigh Kasperek: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ellyse Perry: Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade · CC BY 4.0
Thamsyn Newton: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amelia Kerr: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hollie Armitage: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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