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Photo: Nelsonpubliclibraries
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Super Smash · 2024/25 · Women
4 Jan 2025 · T20
Saxton Oval, Nelson · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 63%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 35% to 100% during the match (Central Districts: 0% to 66%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Amelia Kerrcaught · KJ Gaging · Rosemary Mair0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · KJ Gaging · b Rosemary Mair | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 87.50 |
 Ellyse Perrybowled · Claudia Green3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Claudia Green | 16 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 88.89 |
| Rebecca Burnscaught · Hannah Rowe · OJS Bartlett 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hannah Rowe · b OJS Bartlett | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
 Leigh Kasperekcaught · Flora Devonshire · OJS Bartlett0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Flora Devonshire · b OJS Bartlett |
| 11 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 45.45 |
| Jess Kerrcaught · GK Atkinson · Hannah Rowe 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · GK Atkinson · b Hannah Rowe | 59 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 131.11 |
|---|
| KM Chandlerrun out · Hannah Rowe · Hannah Rowe 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Hannah Rowe | 10 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 43.48 |
|---|
| Jess McFadyencaught · GK Atkinson · Rosemary Mair 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · GK Atkinson · b Rosemary Mair | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| CR Kingnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| XA Jetlyrun out · KJ Gaging · Rosemary Mair 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · KJ Gaging | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 250.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Rowe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Claudia Green0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 3.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Rosemary Mair0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| OJS Bartlett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Flora Devonshire0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 3.75 | 1 | 0 |
1-17 (Amelia Kerr, 2.3) · 2-27 (Ellyse Perry, 5.1) · 3-30 (Rebecca Burns, 6.3) · 4-44 (Leigh Kasperek, 8.5) · 5-99 (KM Chandler, 18.1) · 6-105 (Jess Kerr, 18.5) · 7-109 (Jess McFadyen, 19.3) · 8-114 (XA Jetly, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 3 | 20/1 |
| 5 | 7 | 27/1 |
| 6 | 2 | 29/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 31/3 |
| 8 | 6 | 37/3 |
| 9 | 7 | 44/4 |
| 10 | 2 | 46/4 |
| 11 | 9 | 55/4 |
| 12 | 1 | 56/4 |
| 13 | 8 | 64/4 |
| 14 | 6 | 70/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 75/4 |
| 16 | 7 | 82/4 |
| 17 | 12 | 94/4 |
| 18 | 5 | 99/4 |
| 19 | 7 | 106/6 |
| 20 | 8 | 114/8 |
Leigh Kasperek: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ellyse Perry: Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade · CC BY 4.0
Thamsyn Newton: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amelia Kerr: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hollie Armitage: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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