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Photo: Philip Terry Graham
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
30 Dec 2024 · T20
Sydney Showground Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Sydney Thunder started on 52%; Sydney Thunder batted first.
Sydney Thunder's chances ranged from 29% to 99% during the match (Melbourne Renegades: 1% to 71%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Bancroftcaught · Adam Zampa · Tom Rogers 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Adam Zampa · b Tom Rogers | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 114.29 |
 David Warnernot out10 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 86* | 57 | 10 | 2 | 150.88 |
| Sherfane Rutherfordcaught · Tim Seifert · Will Sutherland 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tim Seifert · b Will Sutherland | 11 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 61.11 |
| Oliver Daviescaught · Laurie Evans · Adam Zampa 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Laurie Evans · b Adam Zampa | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 142.86 |
 |
| caught · Will Sutherland · b Kane Richardson |
| 10 |
| 10 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Matthew Gilkesnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 23* | 21 | 1 | 0 | 109.52 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fergus O'Neill0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Kane Richardson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Will Sutherland0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Adam Zampa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-19 (Cameron Bancroft, 2.0) · 2-43 (Sherfane Rutherford, 7.1) · 3-56 (Oliver Davies, 9.1) · 4-87 (Sam Billings, 13.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 19/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 28/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 30/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 34/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 38/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 43/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 51/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 56/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 60/3 |
| 11 | 10 | 70/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 77/3 |
| 13 | 9 | 86/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 89/4 |
| 15 | 15 | 104/4 |
| 16 | 15 | 119/4 |
| 17 | 12 | 131/4 |
| 18 | 7 | 138/4 |
| 19 | 9 | 147/4 |
| 20 | 9 | 156/4 |
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Kane Richardson: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
David Warner: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lockie Ferguson: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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