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Photo: Philip Terry Graham
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
30 Dec 2024 · T20
Sydney Showground Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Sydney Thunder started on 52%; Sydney Thunder batted first.
Sydney Thunder's chances ranged from 29% to 99% during the match (Melbourne Renegades: 1% to 71%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Browncaught · Chris Green · Tom Andrews 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Chris Green · b Tom Andrews | 22 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 122.22 |
| Jake Fraser-McGurkcaught and bowled · Chris Green 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Chris Green | 26 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 96.30 |
| Tim Seifertcaught · Sam Billings · Wes Agar 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Billings · b Wes Agar | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 81.82 |
| Jacob Bethellbowled · Daniel Sams 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Daniel Sams | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Laurie Evanscaught · Sam Billings · Wes Agar 0 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Sam Billings · b Wes Agar | 40 | 26 | 0 | 4 | 153.85 |
| Mackenzie Harveycaught · Cameron Bancroft · Wes Agar 1 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Cameron Bancroft · b Wes Agar |
| 9 |
| 9 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
 Will Sutherlandlbw · Wes Agar0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Wes Agar | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Fergus O'Neillcaught · Sam Billings · Daniel Sams 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Billings · b Daniel Sams | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Tom Rogersnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 23* | 17 | 1 | 1 | 135.29 |
|---|
 Adam Zampanot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lockie Ferguson0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7.25 | 4 | 0 |
| Wes Agar0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 4 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Tom Andrews0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Daniel Sams0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Chris Green0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 1 | 0 |
1-34 (Josh Brown, 4.2) · 2-55 (Tim Seifert, 7.5) · 3-59 (Jacob Bethell, 9.1) · 4-68 (Jake Fraser-McGurk, 10.5) · 5-95 (Mackenzie Harvey, 13.4) · 6-95 (Will Sutherland, 13.5) · 7-101 (Fergus O'Neill, 15.1) · 8-130 (Laurie Evans, 18.0)
Recorded target: 157 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 25/0 |
| 4 | 8 | 33/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 38/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 42/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 50/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 55/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 59/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 64/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 68/4 |
| 12 | 14 | 82/4 |
| 13 | 10 | 92/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 96/6 |
| 15 | 5 | 101/6 |
| 16 | 4 | 105/7 |
| 17 | 11 | 116/7 |
| 18 | 14 | 130/8 |
| 19 | 5 | 135/8 |
| 20 | 13 | 148/8 |
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Kane Richardson: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
David Warner: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lockie Ferguson: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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