OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024/25 · Men
9 Nov 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 61%; Netherlands batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Surilbw · Aryan Dutt 5 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Aryan Dutt | 26 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 78.79 |
| Waseem Muhammadbowled · Kyle Klein 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kyle Klein | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Vriitya Aravindlbw · Roelof van der Merwe 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Roelof van der Merwe | 16 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 38.10 |
| Vishnu Sukumarancaught and bowled · Colin Ackermann 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Colin Ackermann | 13 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 56.52 |
| Rahul Chopracaught · Roelof van der Merwe · Aryan Dutt 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Roelof van der Merwe · b Aryan Dutt | 43 | 63 | 6 | 0 | 68.25 |
Netherlands's chances ranged from 60% to 100% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 0% to 40%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Scott Edwards · b Kyle Klein |
| 3 |
| 15 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 20.00 |
| Basil Hameedcaught · Max O'Dowd · Roelof van der Merwe 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Max O'Dowd · b Roelof van der Merwe | 11 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 78.57 |
|---|
| Aayan Afzal Khanstumped · Scott Edwards · Aryan Dutt 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Scott Edwards · b Aryan Dutt | 8 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 47.06 |
|---|
| Ali Naseercaught · Timm van der Gugten · Kyle Klein 1 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Timm van der Gugten · b Kyle Klein | 45 | 39 | 1 | 4 | 115.38 |
|---|
| Rahul Bhatiacaught · Bas de Leede · Roelof van der Merwe 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Bas de Leede · b Roelof van der Merwe | 3 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 15.79 |
|---|
| Junaid Siddiquenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Klein0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 47 | 3 | 7.83 | 1 | 1 |
 Timm van der Gugten1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 3.38 | 0 | 0 |
| Aryan Dutt1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 26 | 3 | 2.60 | 0 | 0 |
 Colin Ackermann0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 4.56 | 1 | 0 |
 Bas de Leede0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Roelof van der Merwe0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 1.91 | 1 | 0 |
| Max O'Dowd0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-10 (Waseem Muhammad, 2.3) · 2-37 (T Suri, 10.4) · 3-54 (Vishnu Sukumaran, 15.5) · 4-61 (Vriitya Aravind, 19.2) · 5-71 (D Parashar, 24.1) · 6-106 (Basil Hameed, 29.2) · 7-119 (Aayan Afzal Khan, 34.2) · 8-136 (Rahul Chopra, 38.2) · 9-174 (Ali Naseer, 44.5) · 10-174 (Rahul Bhatia, 45.2)
Recorded target: 242 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 10/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 11/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 19/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 24/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 26/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 27/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 33/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 36/1 |
| 11 | 1 | 37/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 43/2 |
| 13 | 1 | 44/2 |
| 14 | 7 | 51/2 |
| 15 | 2 | 53/2 |
| 16 | 2 | 55/3 |
| 17 | 1 | 56/3 |
| 18 | 2 | 58/3 |
| 19 | 2 | 60/3 |
| 20 | 2 | 62/4 |
| 21 | 1 | 63/4 |
| 22 | 3 | 66/4 |
| 23 | 4 | 70/4 |
| 24 | 1 | 71/4 |
| 25 | 14 | 85/5 |
| 26 | 2 | 87/5 |
| 27 | 7 | 94/5 |
| 28 | 1 | 95/5 |
| 29 | 10 | 105/5 |
| 30 | 2 | 107/6 |
| 31 | 6 | 113/6 |
| 32 | 3 | 116/6 |
| 33 | 2 | 118/6 |
| 34 | 1 | 119/6 |
| 35 | 1 | 120/7 |
| 36 | 5 | 125/7 |
| 37 | 5 | 130/7 |
| 38 | 6 | 136/7 |
| 39 | 0 | 136/8 |
| 40 | 2 | 138/8 |
| 41 | 9 | 147/8 |
| 42 | 7 | 154/8 |
| 43 | 3 | 157/8 |
| 44 | 9 | 166/8 |
| 45 | 8 | 174/9 |
| 46 | 0 | 174/10 |
Bas de Leede: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
